PolyBot

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Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.031. down 0.024 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.020 to 0.060. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0461818
0.0521029
0.0624574
0.063310384
0.06410,00010,384
0.1202010,404
0.13041910,823
0.24010010,923
0.5303010,953
0.6091,00011,953
0.6101,64113,594
0.6602,35315,947

Spread0.030Mid0.031

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0166363
0.015770
0.01340110
0.01214123
0.011304427
0.0108435
0.003103539
0.002163701
0.0012991,001

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9846363
0.985770
0.98740110
0.98814123
0.989304427
0.9908435
0.997103539
0.998163701
0.9992991,001

Spread0.030Mid0.969

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9541818
0.9481029
0.9384574
0.937310384
0.93610,00010,384
0.8802010,404
0.87041910,823
0.76010010,923
0.4703010,953
0.3911,00011,953
0.3901,64113,594
0.3402,35315,947

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
FridayYes1,500
BIsLosingMoneyYes144
aosdijfYes100
pootytherewardfarmerYes78
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192Yes45
BAO95889Yes20
0x86CA8077b2d19c4B46EF16F05992817A41fc16Be-1782535406963Yes20
tinman2Yes19.4
HNla008Yes19.08
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes18.48
a5533Yes15
AJSVYes15
HaradwaithYes10.06
LornaPredictsYes6.66
Mataty1No1,626.08
sqaolkytrpoiNo222.19
grinder1011No95.44
nikos.paixtisNo20
cx2No18.48
ms1910No10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:51:34BUYNo0.98518$18.20
15:28:45BUYYes0.0312083333144$4.49
15:30:28SELLYes0.0217$0.34
15:29:46SELLYes0.0220$0.40
15:29:33SELLYes0.04110$4.40
12:16:00BUYNo0.961$1.00
18:59:46SELLYes0.065$0.30
09:08:55BUYYes0.0720$1.40
07:22:55SELLYes0.063$0.18
07:22:54SELLYes0.0623$1.38
06:10:09BUYNo0.92635$583.88
06:07:45BUYNo0.9142$38.21
15:49:06BUYNo0.9949$854.50
10:05:01SELLNo0.870$0.40
09:59:30SELLNo0.870$0.40
08:57:21BUYNo0.898755238995$85.78
08:23:52SELLYes0.1148$5.29
08:23:52BUYYes0.1140$4.40
04:03:13BUYNo0.95$4.50
03:16:43BUYNo0.99$8.10
02:41:51SELLYes0.0950$4.50
02:05:57BUYNo0.909999997419$17.60
01:00:43SELLNo0.921$0.60
00:58:16SELLYes0.0720$1.40
14:11:24SELLYes0.067$0.40