PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Friday

0x66c1cc4f994ee99a2f5977a2e071cbfd65852c72

Realised P&L
$42.5k
Volume
$4.97M
Markets traded
2,514
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,514
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.019$585.00+$285.20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7550.414$414.50−$340.58
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.4880.345$345.00−$143.00
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6040.645$322.50+$20.46
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms? · Yes0.0520.095$174.99+$79.46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0770.057$169.50−$61.95
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · Yes0.1540.115$126.50−$42.61
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2100.125$125.00−$84.80
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? · Yes0.1550.105$105.00−$50.00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · Yes0.0850.043$87.00−$83.48
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.3070.351$70.20+$8.70
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.1330.059$59.00−$74.12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2600.285$57.00+$5.00
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes0.1370.100$50.70−$19.00
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.0400.045$45.00+$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 16:53Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?SELL0.005$0.14
10-30 12:42Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?BUY0.003$0.12
10-30 12:38Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?BUY0.006$0.30
10-30 12:37Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?BUY0.006$4.23
10-30 08:12US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?SELL0.035$35.00
10-29 10:10Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?SELL0.915$183.00
10-28 01:00Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?BUY0.004$1.18
10-26 01:53Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?SELL0.19$95.00
10-26 01:32Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?SELL0.11$94.25
10-26 00:53Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?BUY0.34$102.00
10-24 00:57NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.023$4.60
10-23 18:03US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?SELL0.188$18.80
10-23 17:30Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?BUY0.007$0.13
10-23 17:21Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.009$1.80
10-23 17:14NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?SELL0.1893361964$20.28