PolyBot

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Traders

grinder1011

0xeed7c2e6c4e998fd50098b66144ee8dff01d16b2

Realised P&L
$13.6k
Volume
$1.30M
Markets traded
633
Open portfolio
$91.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded633
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8340.885$15.8k+$905.89
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.2600.255$5.7k−$106.84
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? · No0.7020.580$3.6k−$762.22
Blue tsunami in 2026? · No0.4560.325$3.3k−$1.3k
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2130.255$3.1k+$515.55
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? · Yes0.6980.570$3.0k−$668.36
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4200.415$2.8k−$34.29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3220.295$2.7k−$253.34
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.4200.415$2.7k−$32.84
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3340.295$2.5k−$337.29
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.4330.215$2.2k−$2.2k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2300.235$2.1k+$45.01
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? · Yes0.6800.685$2.0k+$14.93
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat? · No0.8400.845$2.0k+$11.93
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6950.515$1.9k−$661.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:32Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.16$476.80
11-01 21:32Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.15$3.00
11-01 21:31Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?BUY0.6$122.30
11-01 20:27Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?BUY0.7908419023$307.64
11-01 20:06Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.15$3.56
11-01 19:50Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.3330733447$196.18
11-01 19:20Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.33$132.00
11-01 19:20Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.33$132.00
11-01 19:20Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.33$132.00
11-01 19:20Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.33$132.00
11-01 19:20Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.33$132.00
11-01 18:59Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?SELL0.8$39.20
11-01 18:18Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.6$54.03
11-01 18:18Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?BUY0.75$67.54
11-01 14:29Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?BUY0.75$97.46