grinder1011
0xeed7c2e6c4e998fd50098b66144ee8dff01d16b2
- Realised P&L
- $13.6k
- Volume
- $1.30M
- Markets traded
- 633
- Open portfolio
- $91.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded633
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.0kat 0.471Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$7.0kat 0.781Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$4.6kat 0.874Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$2.5kat 0.696Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.758Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:32 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $476.80 |
| 11-01 21:32 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 21:31 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.6 | $122.30 |
| 11-01 20:27 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.7908419023 | $307.64 |
| 11-01 20:06 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.56 |
| 11-01 19:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.3330733447 | $196.18 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.33 | $132.00 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.33 | $132.00 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.33 | $132.00 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.33 | $132.00 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.33 | $132.00 |
| 11-01 18:59 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.8 | $39.20 |
| 11-01 18:18 | Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.6 | $54.03 |
| 11-01 18:18 | Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.75 | $67.54 |
| 11-01 14:29 | Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.75 | $97.46 |