grinder1011
0xeed7c2e6c4e998fd50098b66144ee8dff01d16b2
- Realised P&L
- $21.5k
- Volume
- $547.3k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $84.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.0kat 0.471Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.6kat 0.874Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$4.6kat 0.782Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$2.5kat 0.696Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.642Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:45 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.18 |
| 09-17 17:35 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 09-17 17:27 | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in September? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.63 |
| 09-17 16:51 | Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 09-17 16:50 | Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.62 |
| 09-17 15:58 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $12.10 |
| 09-17 15:57 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September? | SELL | 0.978 | $48.90 |
| 09-17 15:38 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% or more in September? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.34 |
| 09-17 15:38 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in September? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.52 |
| 09-17 15:37 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in September? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.56 |
| 09-17 15:37 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-17 15:34 | Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.20 |
| 09-17 15:26 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September? | BUY | 0.1 | $13.00 |
| 09-17 15:26 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September? | BUY | 0.1566223077 | $20.36 |
| 09-17 15:26 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.33693 | $43.80 |