PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

grinder1011

0xeed7c2e6c4e998fd50098b66144ee8dff01d16b2

Realised P&L
$-8.7k
Volume
$150.8k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$88.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8740.875$39.9k+$33.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7800.775$26.8k$181.27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4830.435$18.3k$2.0k
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · No0.5930.565$1.9k$93.70
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? · No0.7500.700$511.29$36.52
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? · No0.3430.305$230.93$28.91
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? · Yes0.0520.032$129.73$81.27
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July? · Yes0.0300.018$67.36$46.97
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · Yes0.2990.265$61.65$7.89
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? · No0.8000.785$48.69$0.93
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? · Yes0.0290.016$9.80$7.88
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.2% in July? · Yes0.0020.002$0.30$0.10
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference? · No0.2360.000$0.00$33.72
Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference? · No0.7100.000$0.00$4.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? · Yes0.6050.000$0.00$6.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:12Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.2% in July?BUY0.002$0.40
08-02 19:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.77$1.8k
08-02 17:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.77$192.61
08-02 15:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.78$40.38
08-02 13:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.78$780.00
08-02 13:50Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.78$1.6k
08-02 13:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.77995$2.3k
08-02 13:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.78$43.01
08-02 13:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7771181994$3.1k
08-02 11:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.78$1.6k
08-02 08:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.75$375.00
08-01 13:55Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?BUY0.025$0.32
08-01 06:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.85$285.84
08-01 05:32Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?BUY0.0563920895$10.99
08-01 05:32Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?BUY0.0657139999$12.81