grinder1011
0xeed7c2e6c4e998fd50098b66144ee8dff01d16b2
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $150.8k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $88.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.60at 0.600Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
- +$-74.44at 0.622Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
- +$-303.37at 0.399Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:12 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.2% in July? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 08-02 19:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 17:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.77 | $192.61 |
| 08-02 15:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $40.38 |
| 08-02 13:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $780.00 |
| 08-02 13:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 13:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.77995 | $2.3k |
| 08-02 13:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $43.01 |
| 08-02 13:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7771181994 | $3.1k |
| 08-02 11:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 08:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $375.00 |
| 08-01 13:55 | Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.32 |
| 08-01 06:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $285.84 |
| 08-01 05:32 | Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July? | BUY | 0.0563920895 | $10.99 |
| 08-01 05:32 | Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? | BUY | 0.0657139999 | $12.81 |