nikos.paixtis
0xf8412c6c4c3967104af6f6a999c07f37ad1bb2eb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $297.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,179
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,179
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.00at 0.340Will Derrick White be named to the 2026 NBA All-Defensive First Team?
- +$177.12at 0.418Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
- +$164.40at 0.178Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$158.53at 0.811Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
- +$137.94at 0.904Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 17:10 | Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E7 S3? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.88 |
| 07-30 11:07 | Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E7 S3? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 07-30 11:04 | Will anyone say "Queen" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3? | BUY | 0.85 | $26.33 |
| 07-27 10:07 | NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9 | $81.00 |
| 07-27 09:55 | Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year? | BUY | 0.0069143225 | $10.57 |
| 07-25 14:29 | Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year? | BUY | 0.033 | $3.63 |
| 07-25 14:28 | Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year? | BUY | 0.0334445306 | $4.75 |
| 07-25 08:06 | Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 07-24 16:52 | NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.80 |
| 07-24 16:20 | Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year? | BUY | 0.0725843319 | $43.13 |
| 07-24 16:20 | Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year? | BUY | 0.093026286 | $164.99 |
| 07-24 16:02 | Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.944 | $14.49 |
| 07-24 15:51 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.984 | $610.08 |
| 07-24 15:48 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.983 | $602.17 |
| 07-24 15:43 | Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $38.76 |