0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192
0xd38f5f17d57b4ded218dfcbca4bd8deee78abf78
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $198.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,192
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,192
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.10at 0.235Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?
- +$35.05at 0.172Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
- +$33.55at 0.397Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?
- +$32.53at 0.507Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
- +$30.70at 0.302Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:01 | Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.15 |
| 09-18 21:00 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.181 | $9.05 |
| 09-18 20:55 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30? | SELL | 0.491 | $14.71 |
| 09-18 20:39 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $162 in September? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-18 20:38 | Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.55 |
| 09-18 20:26 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 40%-45%? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-18 20:26 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.09 |
| 09-18 20:25 | Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.79 |
| 09-18 20:25 | Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award? | SELL | 0.16 | $14.40 |
| 09-18 20:24 | Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $13.20 |
| 09-18 17:25 | Will Linera launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.53 |
| 09-18 16:45 | Will Ryan Blaney win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 09-18 16:03 | Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.11 |
| 09-18 15:44 | Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 15:44 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |