0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192
0xd38f5f17d57b4ded218dfcbca4bd8deee78abf78
- Realised P&L
- $26.28
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $89.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.53at 0.200Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
- +$6.95at 0.430Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
- +$3.37at 0.481Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
- +$2.80at 0.130GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$2.60at 0.270Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:13 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.34 | $8.07 |
| 08-04 12:13 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.36 | $9.46 |
| 08-04 05:27 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.102 | $1.53 |
| 08-03 22:19 | Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.666 | $12.13 |
| 08-03 11:37 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 11:33 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%? | SELL | 0.136 | $2.72 |
| 08-03 09:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 08-03 07:43 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.421 | $6.25 |
| 08-03 07:04 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.06 |
| 08-03 07:04 | Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.06 |
| 08-03 07:04 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.09 |
| 08-03 07:04 | Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by September 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.25 |
| 08-03 07:04 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.47 |
| 08-03 07:03 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.37 |
| 08-03 07:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.56 |