wendywu1
0x300c5e1ec9e4d6e8bd9617f0a44508170c5b6a92
- Realised P&L
- $20.3k
- Volume
- $1.94M
- Markets traded
- 1,166
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,166
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.170Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$1.5kat 0.605Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
- +$1.0kat 0.191Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
- +$940.08at 0.378US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$856.63at 0.830US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:26 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2764996667 | $8.29 |
| 08-03 01:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 08-03 01:25 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2861817273 | $31.48 |
| 08-03 01:25 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $78.10 |
| 08-02 23:44 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.722314 | $361.16 |
| 08-02 23:44 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.2224564 | $111.23 |
| 08-02 14:57 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 08-02 14:56 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 08-02 03:54 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $10.05 |
| 08-02 03:54 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.336 | $25.20 |
| 08-02 03:54 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $40.20 |
| 08-02 02:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.77 | $65.45 |
| 08-02 02:56 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? | BUY | 0.1 | $8.50 |
| 08-02 02:56 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? | BUY | 0.11 | $9.35 |
| 08-02 02:52 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |