PolyBot

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Traders

BAO95889

0x300c5e1ec9e4d6e8bd9617f0a44508170c5b6a92

Realised P&L
$32.9k
Volume
$2.59M
Markets traded
1,724
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,724
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7810.890$442.33+$54.04
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · No0.8230.795$330.90−$11.79
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · No0.5880.820$224.71+$63.50
Will The Birthday Gift win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9200.999$209.69+$16.48
Will With Tapes and Toasts in the Car win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8390.882$189.74+$9.42
Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8370.980$136.12+$19.84
White House press briefing room decommissioned by December 31? · No0.6630.685$106.11+$3.47
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? · No0.5850.405$101.30−$45.04
Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.7790.960$100.07+$18.82
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · Yes0.2050.240$99.48+$14.55
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · No0.5580.480$94.70−$15.43
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027? · No0.8200.815$90.90−$0.57
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.3120.345$86.25+$8.25
Will Wildwood win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9560.951$84.03−$0.48
White House press briefing room decommissioned by March 31? · Yes0.4880.410$78.37−$14.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:18Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?SELL0.26$10.40
11-01 17:09Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.9815981818$10.80
11-01 17:04Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.9536823432$115.59
11-01 17:03Will Wildwood win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.9919222408$130.50
11-01 16:35Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?SELL0.29$5.80
11-01 16:34Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?BUY0.24$1.75
11-01 16:34Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?BUY0.685$27.40
11-01 16:27Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?BUY0.23$9.20
11-01 16:26Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?BUY0.7$90.47
11-01 16:23Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?SELL0.79$71.10
11-01 16:23Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?BUY0.19$3.80
11-01 16:20Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?BUY0.18$7.20
11-01 13:59Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7509416667$54.07
11-01 13:56Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2780321285$13.85
11-01 13:54Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.3053846154$39.70