PolyBot

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Traders

sqaolkytrpoi

0xd6ddc6559313bcc819f1df1b3647f3930da998ee

Realised P&L
$55.7k
Volume
$3.17M
Markets traded
2,285
Open portfolio
$7.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,285
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.4010.845$735.02+$385.92
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4960.585$663.42+$100.91
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8010.853$596.93+$35.75
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4490.405$513.75−$56.28
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7580.865$425.88+$52.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.8601.000$399.80+$55.80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.8240.945$378.02+$48.35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? · No0.8840.915$338.42+$11.55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.8270.915$338.10+$32.40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.6030.885$265.58+$84.69
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.4080.655$263.76+$99.38
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.6930.855$256.50+$48.59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.6100.645$245.66+$13.33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.5910.535$216.14−$22.80
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.5060.140$164.88−$431.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 04:01Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.79$790.40
10-28 04:01Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.22$220.11
10-28 04:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.35$154.55
10-28 04:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.75$331.19
10-26 17:27Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$17.40
10-26 17:27Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$3.25
10-26 14:21Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$1.79
10-26 14:21Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$14.62
10-26 03:08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.8$2.4k
10-26 03:08Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.2$611.84
10-25 22:01Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$26.99
10-25 01:06Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.45$27.82
10-25 01:06Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.63$38.96
10-25 00:41Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2281335616$18.65
10-25 00:41Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.22$6.99