sqaolkytrpoi
0xd6ddc6559313bcc819f1df1b3647f3930da998ee
- Realised P&L
- $55.7k
- Volume
- $3.17M
- Markets traded
- 2,285
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,285
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.475US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$2.9kat 0.872Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.186Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
- +$2.7kat 0.638US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.477US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 04:01 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $790.40 |
| 10-28 04:01 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $220.11 |
| 10-28 04:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.35 | $154.55 |
| 10-28 04:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $331.19 |
| 10-26 17:27 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $17.40 |
| 10-26 17:27 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.25 |
| 10-26 14:21 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.79 |
| 10-26 14:21 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $14.62 |
| 10-26 03:08 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.4k |
| 10-26 03:08 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SELL | 0.2 | $611.84 |
| 10-25 22:01 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $26.99 |
| 10-25 01:06 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.45 | $27.82 |
| 10-25 01:06 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.63 | $38.96 |
| 10-25 00:41 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2281335616 | $18.65 |
| 10-25 00:41 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.99 |