soqmfaks
0xd6ddc6559313bcc819f1df1b3647f3930da998ee
- Realised P&L
- $54.2k
- Volume
- $2.81M
- Markets traded
- 2,202
- Open portfolio
- $18.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,202
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.872Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$2.8kat 0.186Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
- +$2.7kat 0.638US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.477US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.910Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 08-02 04:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.96236775 | $384.95 |
| 08-02 03:40 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.8996293495 | $130.82 |
| 08-02 02:12 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $252.00 |
| 08-02 02:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.53 | $212.00 |
| 08-01 23:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.8 | $197.31 |
| 08-01 23:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 08-01 23:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 08-01 23:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.79 | $4.37 |
| 08-01 23:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.76 | $85.86 |
| 08-01 23:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.29 | $32.76 |
| 08-01 23:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.74 | $30.46 |
| 08-01 23:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.31 | $12.76 |
| 08-01 23:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.74 | $296.00 |
| 08-01 23:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.31 | $124.00 |