PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

soqmfaks

0xd6ddc6559313bcc819f1df1b3647f3930da998ee

Realised P&L
$54.2k
Volume
$2.81M
Markets traded
2,202
Open portfolio
$18.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,202
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9861.000$3.7k+$48.42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6990.987$3.6k+$1.0k
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.7160.815$2.2k+$268.73
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.3230.695$1.1k+$591.88
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.8501.000$805.53+$120.49
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7610.795$715.53+$30.61
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.2280.175$527.62$160.29
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.6250.260$406.16$569.96
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.5380.981$392.40+$177.34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8400.956$382.40+$46.40
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.6770.895$361.90+$88.00
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.3930.665$332.50+$135.95
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.725$290.00+$38.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · No0.7790.955$286.52+$52.78
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.5900.555$278.66$17.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 04:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$18.00
08-02 04:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.96236775$384.95
08-02 03:40Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.8996293495$130.82
08-02 02:12US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.63$252.00
08-02 02:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.53$212.00
08-01 23:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.8$197.31
08-01 23:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.8$6.40
08-01 23:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.8$6.40
08-01 23:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.79$4.37
08-01 23:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.76$85.86
08-01 23:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.29$32.76
08-01 23:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.74$30.46
08-01 23:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.31$12.76
08-01 23:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?SELL0.74$296.00
08-01 23:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.31$124.00