BIsLosingMoney
0x79f4de2b9ecc9cba3aab7439181330de9ddb4afb
- Realised P&L
- $-31.9k
- Volume
- $1.30M
- Markets traded
- 1,394
- Open portfolio
- $973.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,394
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.396Kamala Harris DNC speech 30-45 minutes?
- +$1.3kat 0.225Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at his press conference?
- +$1.2kat 0.490Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?
- +$1.0kat 0.202Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?
- +$945.30at 0.394Will Biden say "Ceasefire" at DNC speech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:36 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.0407743951 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:43 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 11-01 17:46 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $64.00 |
| 11-01 17:38 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 10-31 19:46 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $24.48 |
| 10-31 13:39 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $26.89 |
| 10-30 14:54 | Will Titanium Court win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.0248413719 | $2.32 |
| 10-30 14:40 | Will Esoteric Ebb win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.0159580103 | $2.82 |
| 10-30 14:11 | Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.0341183544 | $7.55 |
| 10-30 13:13 | Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.4597667059 | $78.16 |
| 10-26 21:46 | Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.0673092224 | $14.89 |
| 10-26 12:13 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1245073333 | $37.35 |
| 10-26 12:13 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | SELL | 0.0691346154 | $35.95 |
| 10-26 12:10 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0875054265 | $16.13 |
| 10-23 23:38 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.082 | $9.84 |