BIsLosingMoney
0x79f4de2b9ecc9cba3aab7439181330de9ddb4afb
- Realised P&L
- $-30.0k
- Volume
- $1.28M
- Markets traded
- 1,356
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,356
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.396Kamala Harris DNC speech 30-45 minutes?
- +$1.3kat 0.225Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at his press conference?
- +$1.2kat 0.490Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?
- +$1.0kat 0.202Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?
- +$945.30at 0.394Will Biden say "Ceasefire" at DNC speech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:36 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.4910585 | $98.21 |
| 09-14 14:45 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $12.60 |
| 09-14 14:44 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $74.66 |
| 09-14 14:39 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.4468162 | $223.41 |
| 09-14 14:38 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.19 | $45.32 |
| 09-14 13:17 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.229696129 | $71.21 |
| 09-14 13:16 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.0621875 | $19.90 |
| 09-14 11:58 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 08:35 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 07:43 | Will Cairn win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.079 | $2.78 |
| 09-13 19:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 19:39 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.2449121941 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 15:12 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 09-13 13:32 | Will Mewgenics win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.14 | $29.82 |
| 09-13 12:43 | Will Cairn win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.0294917525 | $8.00 |