PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x86CA8077b2d19c4B46EF16F05992817A41fc16Be-1782535406963

0x86ca8077b2d19c4b46ef16f05992817a41fc16be

Realised P&L
$8.43
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
472
Open portfolio
$162.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded472
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Borussia Dortmund reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? · Yes0.4600.285$5.70−$3.50
Will Drake Maye have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.2300.265$5.30+$0.70
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? · Yes0.3900.265$5.30−$2.50
Will FC Augsburg finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? · Yes0.3800.245$4.91−$2.69
Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? · Yes0.3400.240$4.80−$2.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 25% or more? · Yes0.1200.175$3.50+$1.10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1700.160$3.20−$0.20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,000,000 and 12,500,000? · Yes0.1000.135$2.70+$0.70
Will Lens reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? · Yes0.4000.135$2.70−$5.30
Will Alabama Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · Yes0.1200.135$2.70+$0.30
Tori FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.085$2.55−$0.45
Will Georgia Tech have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.1400.125$2.50−$0.30
Will Texas Tech have an undefeated CFB regular season? · Yes0.2800.250$2.50−$0.30
Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next gaming YouTube video? · Yes0.1200.120$2.40+$0.00
Will Villarreal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? · Yes0.4000.115$2.30−$5.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 20:47Will Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?SELL0.385$3.85
06-27 04:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.941$4.71