0x86CA8077b2d19c4B46EF16F05992817A41fc16Be-1782535406963
0x86ca8077b2d19c4b46ef16f05992817a41fc16be
- Realised P&L
- $8.43
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 472
- Open portfolio
- $162.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded472
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.67at 0.060Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by August 31?
- +$4.35at 0.130Will Deep Cross Gaming Make the LCP 2026 Split 3 Grand Final?
- +$2.98at 0.029Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of September 2026?
- +$2.92at 0.100Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
- +$2.89at 0.087Will Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 20:47 | Will Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo win the Vaimauga 3 by-election? | SELL | 0.385 | $3.85 |
| 06-27 04:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.941 | $4.71 |