PolyBot

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Traders

0x56e777a0ac58b25be414f8f29866e99ad5737c0b

0x56e777a0ac58b25be414f8f29866e99ad5737c0b

Realised P&L
$47.1k
Volume
$1.88M
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$26.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.825$12.4k−$375.00
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? · Yes0.9690.979$4.8k+$45.97
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31? · Yes0.9590.996$2.8k+$104.93
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes0.8510.681$2.6k−$640.89
US imports Russian diesel by November 2? · No0.8850.994$2.3k+$255.44
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? · No0.9590.960$386.24+$0.25
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? · No0.9700.982$252.72+$3.09
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? · Yes0.5790.910$204.48+$74.35
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? · No0.9620.998$134.65+$4.80
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? · No0.9770.986$65.51+$0.53
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? · Yes0.1820.001$10.38−$3.8k
Seahawks vs. Titans · Seahawks0.7200.000$0.00−$63.27
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No0.5690.000$0.00−$4.8k
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · Yes0.3370.000$0.00−$482.42
Will "Primetime" be #1 Box Office this weekend? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$14.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 18:04Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?BUY0.5791099243$130.13
10-28 17:19US imports Russian diesel by November 2?BUY0.9611382114$591.10
10-28 17:19US imports Russian diesel by October 31?SELL0.9843655252$959.84
10-28 00:53US imports Russian diesel by November 2?BUY0.94$141.00
10-27 22:24US imports Russian diesel by November 2?BUY0.87$1.1k
10-27 22:24Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?SELL0.986$629.07
10-27 21:40US imports Russian diesel by November 2?BUY0.7602553191$217.97
10-27 21:39Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?SELL0.9821269248$452.20
10-27 13:31US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.9640904188$268.16
10-27 12:59US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.9623411388$938.65
10-27 12:27Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9774955619$64.97
10-27 12:26Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?SELL0.0115822981$7.46
10-27 03:40Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?SELL0.8192594$368.67
10-27 03:39US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.9501928628$1.6k
10-26 14:56Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?BUY0.9877746565$2.0k