0x56e777a0ac58b25be414f8f29866e99ad5737c0b
0x56e777a0ac58b25be414f8f29866e99ad5737c0b
- Realised P&L
- $47.1k
- Volume
- $1.88M
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $26.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.0kat 0.587Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
- +$13.3kat 0.994Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$9.4kat 0.425U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$4.9kat 0.532Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$4.0kat 0.855US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 18:04 | Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? | BUY | 0.5791099243 | $130.13 |
| 10-28 17:19 | US imports Russian diesel by November 2? | BUY | 0.9611382114 | $591.10 |
| 10-28 17:19 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.9843655252 | $959.84 |
| 10-28 00:53 | US imports Russian diesel by November 2? | BUY | 0.94 | $141.00 |
| 10-27 22:24 | US imports Russian diesel by November 2? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.1k |
| 10-27 22:24 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | SELL | 0.986 | $629.07 |
| 10-27 21:40 | US imports Russian diesel by November 2? | BUY | 0.7602553191 | $217.97 |
| 10-27 21:39 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31? | SELL | 0.9821269248 | $452.20 |
| 10-27 13:31 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.9640904188 | $268.16 |
| 10-27 12:59 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.9623411388 | $938.65 |
| 10-27 12:27 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9774955619 | $64.97 |
| 10-27 12:26 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? | SELL | 0.0115822981 | $7.46 |
| 10-27 03:40 | Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | SELL | 0.8192594 | $368.67 |
| 10-27 03:39 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.9501928628 | $1.6k |
| 10-26 14:56 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | BUY | 0.9877746565 | $2.0k |