ms1910
0x154e1febdde45605dc2ef3f83a2e1905d1c2911f
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $104.5k
- Markets traded
- 623
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded623
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$831.48at 0.157Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
- +$294.58at 0.256Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?
- +$198.11at 0.273Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
- +$175.19at 0.235Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?
- +$141.31at 0.682Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:28 | Titans vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 10-01 03:25 | Rams vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.4 | $32.00 |
| 10-01 01:42 | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $240.76 |
| 09-30 07:33 | Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $16.00 |
| 09-30 07:31 | Steelers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 05:42 | Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.978 | $97.80 |
| 09-30 02:17 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1062859 | $10.63 |
| 09-30 02:17 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.097 | $0.48 |
| 09-29 01:56 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 09-29 01:56 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 09-29 01:55 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27? | BUY | 0.7 | $28.00 |
| 09-29 01:55 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 09-29 00:53 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 09-29 00:52 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.69 |
| 09-28 07:20 | Will United States win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.3299999979 | $20.00 |