aosdijf
0x1963eabad7eb7499fb049ddebb96a8fd22179bfd
- Realised P&L
- $14.9k
- Volume
- $3.46M
- Markets traded
- 564
- Open portfolio
- $18.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded564
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.2kat 0.146Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
- +$12.8kat 0.173Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?
- +$9.0kat 0.050US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$4.7kat 0.027Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?
- +$1.8kat 0.210Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.0309857143 | $21.69 |
| 09-17 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.005 | $0.45 |
| 09-17 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.00623235 | $2.49 |
| 09-17 00:55 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $9.90 |
| 09-17 00:55 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.40 |
| 09-17 00:54 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.90 |
| 09-17 00:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.40 |
| 09-17 00:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $63.00 |
| 09-17 00:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.085 | $7.65 |
| 09-17 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $7.20 |
| 09-17 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 09-17 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $18.34 |
| 09-17 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $27.37 |
| 09-17 00:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 00:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $3.85 |