PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

aosdijf

0x1963eabad7eb7499fb049ddebb96a8fd22179bfd

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$428.5k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$23.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0310.015$6.51$6.71
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0150.004$4.72$16.16
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0020.001$3.07$7.55
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0020.001$2.75$8.12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.1200.016$2.40$15.60
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 4? · Yes0.0100.018$2.29+$1.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0390.004$0.90$6.90
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$49.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET · Down0.0540.000$0.00$206.24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 1? · No0.0030.000$0.00$4.15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? · No0.1820.000$0.00$218.47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 1? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$35.15
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 1? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 06:50Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.002$6.40
08-02 00:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ETBUY0.18$17.64
08-02 00:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ETBUY0.18026$18.03
08-02 00:13Bitcoin above 63,200 on August 1, 9PM ET?BUY0.068$5.92
08-02 00:13Bitcoin above 63,000 on August 1, 9PM ET?BUY0.38$5.70
08-02 00:11Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 1?BUY0.002$1.51
08-02 00:11Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 1?BUY0.001$0.02
08-01 23:15Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 1?BUY0.002$4.31
08-01 23:14Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.039$4.68
08-01 23:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.99$0.96
08-01 11:52Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2?BUY0.12$18.00
08-01 11:51Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 1?BUY0.007$1.05
08-01 11:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?BUY0.005$13.73
07-31 18:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2PM ETBUY0.16$16.00
07-31 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.05$16.09