aosdijf
0x1963eabad7eb7499fb049ddebb96a8fd22179bfd
- Realised P&L
- $6.1k
- Volume
- $3.96M
- Markets traded
- 646
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded646
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.2kat 0.146Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
- +$12.8kat 0.173Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?
- +$9.0kat 0.050US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$4.7kat 0.027Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?
- +$1.8kat 0.210Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0085 | $1.70 |
| 11-01 19:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0894185714 | $125.19 |
| 11-01 19:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0782172211 | $39.97 |
| 11-01 19:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0099946531 | $9.35 |
| 11-01 16:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.08 |
| 10-31 02:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.25 |
| 10-31 02:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.086 | $43.00 |
| 10-31 02:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.80 |
| 10-31 02:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.057 | $1.76 |
| 10-31 02:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.0115317495 | $26.70 |
| 10-31 01:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.0129684741 | $41.14 |
| 10-31 01:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.056 | $5.75 |
| 10-31 01:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.055 | $24.04 |
| 10-31 01:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.67 |
| 10-31 01:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.014 | $6.02 |