PolyBot

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Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-10

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.031. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.030. Range 0.029 to 0.041. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.039197197
0.04410207
0.04727235
0.05810245
0.05920264
0.07230294
0.07325319
0.075514833
0.08661894
0.08953947
0.09445992
0.0952981,290

Spread0.016Mid0.031

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0234040
0.021103143
0.00950193
0.008125318
0.0076324
0.0067331
0.00443374
0.003180554
0.0023,1803,734
0.00112,07715,811

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9774040
0.979103143
0.99150193
0.992125318
0.9936324
0.9947331
0.99643374
0.997180554
0.9983,1803,734
0.99912,07715,811

Spread0.016Mid0.969

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.961197197
0.95610207
0.95327235
0.94210245
0.94120264
0.92830294
0.92725319
0.925514833
0.91461894
0.91153947
0.90645992
0.9052981,290

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Jgyuig34Yes911.27
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes197.26
cry.eth2Yes186.01
2B9SYes121.71
qqqppp-l1Yes100
HappyupYes100
xiaodouziYes100
52adsaYes99.73
jennylulu2016Yes62
donthackmeYes57.52
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes55
0x4ffa…3e2eYes47.5
0xd46e…a2baYes46.75
wozaitaibeiYes45
hr26g2re62deYes38.1
AJSVYes29.57
LornaPredictsYes29
flexer78Yes27.46
86fghYes25.02
mymacbookYes22.78

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:50:15BUYNo0.975231785756$54.61
17:50:13BUYNo0.975517777854$52.68
19:44:39SELLYes0.0215$0.10
06:38:06SELLNo0.9595$4.90
13:52:57BUYNo0.9785$4.89
07:25:57BUYNo0.976371333330$29.29
12:09:02BUYNo0.97915$14.69
13:54:58BUYNo0.97699999748$7.53
16:53:09SELLYes0.02195$2.00
16:49:25SELLYes0.02213$0.28
11:44:07SELLYes0.02115$0.32
11:41:06SELLYes0.02240$0.87
08:12:33BUYNo0.97120$19.52
08:12:33BUYNo0.9717$7.15
16:49:48BUYYes0.0277774905108$3.00
12:03:24BUYNo0.97899999945$5.17
12:03:22BUYNo0.97930$29.37
16:12:28BUYNo0.978999998911$10.65
16:12:28BUYNo0.978466666775$73.39
16:12:28BUYNo0.978163604548$46.78
16:12:26BUYNo0.979117$114.45
10:12:50BUYNo0.97912$11.75
11:46:52BUYNo0.978894666730$29.37
11:46:52BUYNo0.9786$5.87
01:51:40SELLYes0.0260207092141$3.67