PolyBot

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Traders

Happyup

0x843aed65b49dcb9dc3914be2d7c475abea3ec46e

Realised P&L
$-3.32
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$23.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · Yes0.6401.000$20.00+$7.20
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yes0.0200.031$3.10+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 1? · Yes0.4310.000$0.00$1.33
Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$6.60
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 10? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00$5.37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 1? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00$2.05
Will 200 to 229 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 10? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00$19.58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on April 1? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$1.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-10 04:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 10?BUY0.05$0.91
04-10 04:42Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 10?BUY0.0127695284$0.90
03-30 12:52Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 1?BUY0.32$0.98
03-30 12:52Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on April 1?BUY0.2799998432$0.98
03-30 12:51Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 1?BUY0.1699998861$0.98
03-16 13:16Will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?SELL0.006$0.60
03-16 13:16Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?SELL0.015904$1.59
03-16 13:16Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.37$3.70
02-04 15:40Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.3173076758$10.00
02-04 15:35Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?SELL0.0039699983$0.46
02-03 14:44Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?BUY0.0171428488$2.00
01-28 16:15Will there be 7-9 inches of snow in D.C. in January?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
01-28 16:14Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?BUY0.86$10.00
01-16 03:23Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.47$4.70