mymacbook
0x099974905080316d7c31d5ede780f16bb00edd96
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $3.14M
- Markets traded
- 4,057
- Open portfolio
- $56.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,057
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.0kat 0.003Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$6.2kat 0.006Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$3.2kat 0.043Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.004Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$2.7kat 0.008Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 22:56 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.046 | $1.01 |
| 05-06 18:48 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%? | BUY | 0.0184244027 | $1.08 |
| 05-06 16:48 | Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.98 |
| 05-04 15:03 | Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | SELL | 0.1732941176 | $14.14 |
| 05-04 14:59 | Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.29 | $23.66 |
| 04-29 17:20 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.933 | $67.53 |
| 04-27 19:51 | Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.74 |
| 04-27 19:51 | Will Trump deport 700-800k people? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 04-27 19:51 | Will Trump deport more than 1m people? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.54 |
| 04-27 19:51 | Will Trump deport 500-600k people? | SELL | 0.0302927163 | $1.55 |
| 04-27 19:19 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? | SELL | 0.001054601 | $0.29 |
| 04-27 19:18 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.82 |
| 04-27 19:18 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE? | SELL | 0.001728014 | $0.47 |
| 04-27 19:18 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.55 |
| 04-27 19:18 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? | SELL | 0.0031820035 | $0.87 |