PolyBot

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Traders

mymacbook

0x099974905080316d7c31d5ede780f16bb00edd96

Realised P&L
$6.9k
Volume
$3.14M
Markets traded
4,057
Open portfolio
$73.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,057
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0210.367$9.69+$9.13
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0210.362$9.56+$9.00
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0210.361$9.53+$8.97
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1670.055$4.95$10.05
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0290.003$3.93$42.31
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.002$3.18$63.10
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0100.001$2.16$40.27
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1430.011$1.77$22.35
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0310.028$1.31$0.18
Will Vuk Jeremić be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0210.049$1.29+$0.73
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0180.011$1.12$0.67
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$1.06$65.22
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$1.06$65.22
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$1.06$65.22
Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0590.095$0.85+$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-06 22:56Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.046$1.01
05-06 18:48Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?BUY0.0184244027$1.08
05-06 16:48Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.05$1.98
05-04 15:03Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?SELL0.1732941176$14.14
05-04 14:59Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?BUY0.29$23.66
04-29 17:20Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.933$67.53
04-27 19:51Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.87$1.74
04-27 19:51Will Trump deport 700-800k people?SELL0.004$0.20
04-27 19:51Will Trump deport more than 1m people?SELL0.01$0.54
04-27 19:51Will Trump deport 500-600k people?SELL0.0302927163$1.55
04-27 19:19Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?SELL0.001054601$0.29
04-27 19:18Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?SELL0.003$0.82
04-27 19:18Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?SELL0.001728014$0.47
04-27 19:18Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?SELL0.002$0.55
04-27 19:18Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?SELL0.0031820035$0.87