cry.eth2
0xe3726a1b9c6ba2f06585d1c9e01d00afaedaeb38
- Realised P&L
- $172.5k
- Volume
- $125.53M
- Markets traded
- 59,220
- Open portfolio
- $48.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded59,220
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.4kat 0.015Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$99.4kat 0.167Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$84.7kat 0.028Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$84.4kat 0.250Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$80.0kat 0.023Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:46 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.098 | $0.06 |
| 10-05 20:43 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.67 |
| 10-05 20:42 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.72 |
| 10-05 20:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? | SELL | 0.018648818 | $1.31 |
| 10-05 19:55 | Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.172 | $24.42 |
| 10-05 19:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.36 | $54.00 |
| 10-05 19:05 | Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-06? | SELL | 0.2014849133 | $33.92 |
| 10-05 19:05 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.999 | $63.21 |
| 10-05 18:52 | Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.9732102637 | $54.62 |
| 10-05 18:50 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.37 | $55.50 |
| 10-05 18:50 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $55.53 |
| 10-05 18:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.37 | $55.50 |
| 10-05 18:50 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.322937 | $32.29 |
| 10-05 18:49 | Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.978093315 | $56.92 |
| 10-05 18:49 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.959 | $57.90 |