PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cry.eth2

0xe3726a1b9c6ba2f06585d1c9e01d00afaedaeb38

Realised P&L
$187.5k
Volume
$128.01M
Markets traded
59,170
Open portfolio
$97.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded59,170
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$51.9k+$18.6k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$14.7k$18.6k
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.0670.595$595.01+$528.34
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.549$566.05+$533.83
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0130.555$554.95+$541.45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.445$458.82+$426.60
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0130.455$454.55+$441.05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0360.705$411.72+$390.86
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.0670.408$408.50+$341.83
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.364$350.53+$320.44
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0420.590$330.03+$306.73
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.561$329.95+$323.34
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0630.788$322.15+$296.61
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.2000.869$297.20+$228.80
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.561$264.38+$232.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-09 16:49Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.02$1.30
06-09 16:49Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.011$0.71
06-09 16:49Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.012$0.78
06-09 16:49Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.012$0.78
06-09 16:49Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.004$0.26
06-09 16:49Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.006$0.39
06-09 16:49Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.001$0.06
06-09 16:49Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.0105376079$0.68
06-09 16:49Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.49$31.79
06-09 16:49Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.19$12.33
06-09 16:49Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.009$0.58
06-09 16:49Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.0518706843$3.37
06-09 16:49Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.088$5.71
06-09 16:49Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.016$1.04
06-09 16:49Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.08$5.19
Trader cry.eth2 · PolyBot Pro