PolyBot

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Traders

cry.eth2

0xe3726a1b9c6ba2f06585d1c9e01d00afaedaeb38

Realised P&L
$172.5k
Volume
$125.53M
Markets traded
59,220
Open portfolio
$48.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded59,220
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0170.255$38.25+$35.75
Will Viktor Orbán be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0170.017$2.55+$0.05
Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0000.001$1.98+$1.98
Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0000.001$1.98+$1.98
Will Anasse Kazib win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0000.001$1.98+$1.98
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$1.14−$1.84
Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0160.004$0.53−$1.82
Will Alberto Fernández win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0160.003$0.38−$1.97
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 14? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$6.55
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$6.03
Will Morocco vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$37.50
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 30? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$10.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 9? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$10.15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on March 28? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$6.74
Will The White House be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$3.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:46Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.098$0.06
10-05 20:43Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?SELL0.77$0.67
10-05 20:42Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?SELL0.88$0.72
10-05 20:03Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?SELL0.018648818$1.31
10-05 19:55Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?SELL0.172$24.42
10-05 19:55Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?SELL0.36$54.00
10-05 19:05Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-06?SELL0.2014849133$33.92
10-05 19:05Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.999$63.21
10-05 18:52Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?SELL0.9732102637$54.62
10-05 18:50Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?SELL0.37$55.50
10-05 18:50Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?SELL0.9$55.53
10-05 18:50Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?SELL0.37$55.50
10-05 18:50Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?SELL0.322937$32.29
10-05 18:49Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?SELL0.978093315$56.92
10-05 18:49Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.959$57.90