xiaodouzi
0x9e806ebc0d5826c377a674d0bd401ab8dde230e2
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $931.0k
- Markets traded
- 5,542
- Open portfolio
- $243.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,542
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.04at 0.500Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$199.00at 0.005Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
- +$100.10at 0.004Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$99.80at 0.002Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
- +$99.60at 0.004Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 15:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23? | SELL | 0.058 | $5.22 |
| 06-23 15:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23? | SELL | 0.05045 | $5.04 |
| 05-14 06:21 | Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.1723763 | $17.24 |
| 05-14 05:47 | Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | SELL | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 04-09 09:23 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026? | SELL | 0.1501002 | $15.01 |
| 04-09 09:23 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026? | SELL | 0.1746487 | $17.46 |
| 04-09 03:18 | Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 04-08 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on April 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 04-08 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.75 |
| 04-07 11:35 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 04-03 14:51 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.1502758462 | $9.81 |
| 04-03 13:33 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.45509 | $45.51 |
| 04-03 09:25 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.3580410082 | $35.80 |
| 04-03 09:24 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.20 |
| 04-02 13:34 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |