PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hr26g2re62de

0xe38144dd45632a9f59fe210038f8c0e99de13ba9

Realised P&L
$17.3k
Volume
$1.72M
Markets traded
6,151
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,151
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31? · No0.1140.220$233.42+$112.73
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? · No0.9270.999$136.34+$9.69
Will Breece Hall have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8100.860$133.29+$7.75
Will Lamar Jackson have 974.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7740.830$117.02+$7.85
Will Omarion Hampton have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7300.725$104.83$0.72
Will Jalen Hurts have 6.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5600.655$92.81+$13.48
Will Blake Corum have 274.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7800.840$92.39+$6.60
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 799.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7900.865$86.50+$7.50
Will De'Von Achane have 599.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8000.860$81.70+$5.70
Will Wan'Dale Robinson have 874.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4460.530$73.66+$11.64
Will David Montgomery have 1,224.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.8090.845$72.74+$3.08
Will Aaron Jones have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4150.415$70.97$0.03
Will Aaron Jones have 1,024.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7800.820$69.70+$3.40
Will Drake Maye have 3,799.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4570.435$68.77$3.50
Will Jayden Daniels have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6180.535$66.93$10.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:31Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31?BUY0.1068574402$102.69
09-17 01:31Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31?BUY0.18$18.00
09-06 14:16Will Jalen Hurts have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.6046058091$145.71
09-06 13:56Will Chase Brown have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.83$93.61
08-30 09:08Will Dell say "Headwind" during earnings call?SELL0.72$64.80
08-30 06:41Will Dell say "Inflation" or "Inflationary" during earnings call?SELL0.54$64.42
08-28 10:45Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?SELL0.999$313.69
08-27 08:44Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.31$53.01
08-27 08:40Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?SELL0.999$18.76
08-27 08:40Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?SELL0.999$18.76
08-27 08:38Will Dell say "Headwind" during earnings call?BUY0.4$36.00
08-27 08:37Will Dell say "Inflation" or "Inflationary" during earnings call?BUY0.4365875371$147.13
08-27 08:34Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?SELL0.999$917.08
08-27 08:34Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?SELL0.999$900.10
08-25 07:36Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?SELL0.21$27.30