PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hr26g2re62de

0xe38144dd45632a9f59fe210038f8c0e99de13ba9

Realised P&L
$14.8k
Volume
$1.73M
Markets traded
6,176
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,176
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hotstuff FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.8110.870$551.00+$37.17
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.2110.280$128.28+$31.61
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.2450.490$121.27+$60.62
Hotstuff FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8200.865$104.09+$5.42
Will Drake Maye have 3,799.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4570.610$96.44+$24.17
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 799.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7900.955$95.50+$16.50
Will Breece Hall have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8100.490$73.20−$47.80
Will Kyren Williams have 1,399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7730.865$65.74+$7.01
Will David Montgomery have 1,224.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.9110.920$62.72+$0.59
Will Drake Maye have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.3500.595$59.50+$24.50
Will Aaron Jones have 1,024.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7800.700$59.50−$6.80
Will Lamar Jackson have 974.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7740.895$54.59+$7.36
Will Rome Odunze have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4550.585$46.80+$10.37
Hotstuff FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2010.205$45.16+$0.84
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 15%-20%? · No0.7630.860$43.17+$4.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:23Will David Montgomery have 824.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.23$18.63
11-01 17:22Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,199.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.77$46.28
11-01 17:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.85$115.22
10-19 12:51Will David Montgomery have 1,224.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.93$19.53
10-19 12:51Will David Montgomery have 1,224.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.92$36.80
10-19 12:51Will David Montgomery have 824.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.0725925926$5.88
10-18 01:03Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?SELL0.12$8.52
10-17 13:30Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027?SELL0.22$17.60
10-17 13:30Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?SELL0.44$37.84
10-17 13:29Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.48$9.60
10-17 13:29Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 20%-25%?SELL0.75$176.23
10-14 20:25Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,599.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.21$4.20
10-14 20:24Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.24504617$65.55
10-14 15:27Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.37$6.25
10-14 15:26Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.4$62.57