hr26g2re62de
0xe38144dd45632a9f59fe210038f8c0e99de13ba9
- Realised P&L
- $17.3k
- Volume
- $1.72M
- Markets traded
- 6,151
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,151
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.010Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
- +$795.73at 0.046Will "THIS & THAT - Stray Kids" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?
- +$776.67at 0.152Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?
- +$530.41at 0.217Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$383.91at 0.098Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:31 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.1068574402 | $102.69 |
| 09-17 01:31 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 09-06 14:16 | Will Jalen Hurts have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.6046058091 | $145.71 |
| 09-06 13:56 | Will Chase Brown have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.83 | $93.61 |
| 08-30 09:08 | Will Dell say "Headwind" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.72 | $64.80 |
| 08-30 06:41 | Will Dell say "Inflation" or "Inflationary" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.54 | $64.42 |
| 08-28 10:45 | Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $313.69 |
| 08-27 08:44 | Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.31 | $53.01 |
| 08-27 08:40 | Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.76 |
| 08-27 08:40 | Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.76 |
| 08-27 08:38 | Will Dell say "Headwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4 | $36.00 |
| 08-27 08:37 | Will Dell say "Inflation" or "Inflationary" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4365875371 | $147.13 |
| 08-27 08:34 | Will James Harden play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $917.08 |
| 08-27 08:34 | Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $900.10 |
| 08-25 07:36 | Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%? | SELL | 0.21 | $27.30 |