PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

flexer78

0x9422f0e5a2c4358bdd2a901aa2a31f58e04ef273

Realised P&L
$906.33
Volume
$10.41M
Markets traded
91,349
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded91,349
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? · Down0.5730.710$287.78+$55.58
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2? · Up0.7170.860$103.15+$17.21
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? · Up0.4260.290$101.90−$47.95
Will AB be relegated from the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)? · Yes0.0120.483$40.29+$39.29
Will Bayer Leverkusen score the most goals in the UEL league phase? · No0.2110.524$39.77+$23.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.6250.570$37.99−$3.69
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition · Yes0.2600.500$30.77+$14.77
Will St Johnstone win the 2026-27 Scottish Premiership? · Yes0.0050.433$30.08+$29.73
Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? · Yes0.0120.342$28.50+$27.50
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,200,000 and 3,400,000? · Yes0.3900.369$25.95−$1.44
Will Dundee win the 2026-27 Scottish Premiership? · Yes0.0100.448$24.91+$24.36
Will Song Yadong fight Merab Dvalishvili next? · Yes0.2200.340$24.72+$8.73
Will Dalian Kun City be promoted to Chinese Super League? · Yes0.0200.485$24.25+$23.25
Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 11:59 PM? · No0.2900.435$24.00+$8.00
Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera? · No0.0200.155$23.25+$20.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 11:25Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?SELL0.009$0.07
11-02 10:17Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
11-02 07:04Will El Cuerpo de Cristo win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.005$0.17
11-02 05:51Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Granada in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.002$0.07
11-02 04:20Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?BUY0.005$0.67
11-02 03:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.066$1.32
11-02 03:02Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.66$4.53
11-02 02:51Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.68$4.67
11-02 02:31Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?SELL0.004$0.52
11-02 02:31Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.66$4.53
11-02 02:20Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.66$4.53
11-02 01:28Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 18% or more?SELL0.03$0.51
11-01 23:28Will Brock Bowers have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.002$0.11
11-01 23:17Will Seoul have between 20-30mm of precipitation in October?BUY0.001$0.42
11-01 22:02Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 0%-10%?SELL0.012$0.41