0xd46eca00cd366b09f0d2913cb00d12fe451fa2ba
- Realised P&L
- $92.39
- Volume
- $164.3k
- Markets traded
- 3,500
- Open portfolio
- $24.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,500
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.43at 0.091Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?
- +$103.05at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?
- +$98.74at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?
- +$79.14at 0.250Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
- +$74.02at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 22:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.01 |
| 07-13 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 14? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.06 |
| 07-13 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.40 |
| 07-13 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.47 |
| 07-13 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.23 |
| 07-13 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.19 |
| 07-13 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.33 |
| 07-13 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.35 |
| 07-13 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.76 |
| 07-13 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 14? | SELL | 0.2110524934 | $4.02 |
| 07-13 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 14? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.44 |
| 07-13 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.08 |
| 07-13 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.2213459621 | $2.22 |
| 07-13 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.75 |
| 07-13 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |