PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd46eca00cd366b09f0d2913cb00d12fe451fa2ba

Realised P&L
$92.39
Volume
$164.3k
Markets traded
3,500
Open portfolio
$24.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,500
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 22:15Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 15?SELL0.45$0.01
07-13 19:03Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 14?SELL0.1$0.06
07-13 14:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 15?SELL0.09$0.40
07-13 13:55Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?SELL0.45$1.47
07-13 11:48Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 15?SELL0.29$0.23
07-13 10:44Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 15?SELL0.1$0.19
07-13 10:29Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 15?SELL0.1$0.33
07-13 09:21Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 15?SELL0.22$0.35
07-13 08:49Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15?SELL0.44$1.76
07-13 05:53Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 14?SELL0.2110524934$4.02
07-13 05:51Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 14?SELL0.14$0.44
07-13 05:48Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 15?SELL0.13$0.08
07-13 04:38Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 15?SELL0.2213459621$2.22
07-13 04:37Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 15?SELL0.25$0.75
07-13 04:34Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 15?SELL0.25$1.25