PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

52adsa

0x5146cbdf6b04a8cf93e6455981c696b88368ac5e

Realised P&L
$-375.56
Volume
$615.5k
Markets traded
2,474
Open portfolio
$786.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,474
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0080.026$15.89+$10.84
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0020.009$15.87+$11.74
Will Lillestrøm win Norway Eliteserien? · Yes0.0030.141$14.35+$14.02
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0060.070$11.77+$10.74
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes0.0550.122$10.92+$5.97
Will Freddie Freeman have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0050.029$10.17+$8.30
Will Willy Adames lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0030.029$8.95+$8.00
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes0.0480.068$7.33+$2.11
Will Michael Sowers win the 2026 PLL MVP award? · Yes0.0600.802$7.00+$6.48
Will Torey Lovullo win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.0060.026$6.54+$5.09
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.1440.210$6.42+$2.02
Will Eugenio Suárez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0030.040$6.16+$5.63
Will Steve Garcia be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.013$6.06+$4.86
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? · Yes0.3360.385$5.71+$0.73
Will California Redwoods be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion? · No0.8901.000$5.60+$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 10:41Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.171$0.93
08-28 12:35Christopher Luxon out by September 30?SELL0.018$0.22
08-24 15:43Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.114$0.90
08-17 14:21Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.176$1.63
08-17 14:18Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.176$3.15
08-16 20:53Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.01$0.00
08-15 13:48Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?SELL0.115$1.10
08-15 13:30Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?SELL0.118$1.13
08-15 13:27Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?SELL0.12$1.68
08-15 09:53Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?SELL0.55$5.25
08-15 04:56Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?SELL0.19$1.06
08-15 00:32Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? SELL0.4$4.80
08-14 23:10Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$0.66
08-14 23:07Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$0.66
08-14 20:15Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?SELL0.27$1.47