52adsa
0x5146cbdf6b04a8cf93e6455981c696b88368ac5e
- Realised P&L
- $-375.56
- Volume
- $615.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,474
- Open portfolio
- $786.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,474
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.50at 0.121Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.63at 0.050Will Jalen Brunson record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$15.10at 0.004Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
- +$14.05at 0.043Will Harry Kane win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.52at 0.218Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 10:41 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.171 | $0.93 |
| 08-28 12:35 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.22 |
| 08-24 15:43 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.114 | $0.90 |
| 08-17 14:21 | Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.176 | $1.63 |
| 08-17 14:18 | Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.176 | $3.15 |
| 08-16 20:53 | Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.00 |
| 08-15 13:48 | Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.115 | $1.10 |
| 08-15 13:30 | Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.118 | $1.13 |
| 08-15 13:27 | Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.68 |
| 08-15 09:53 | Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award? | SELL | 0.55 | $5.25 |
| 08-15 04:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.06 |
| 08-15 00:32 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.80 |
| 08-14 23:10 | Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.66 |
| 08-14 23:07 | Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.66 |
| 08-14 20:15 | Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.47 |