0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934
0x06d898dd11c4c1ffca1f91c2c47f6e379b4c9446
- Realised P&L
- $205.69
- Volume
- $39.99
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar514.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$939.08at 0.302Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$616.68at 0.253Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$495.78at 0.237Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
- +$473.82at 0.062Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$453.73at 0.619Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 10:44 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.116 | $0.58 |
| 04-20 11:26 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 04-20 11:26 | Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |