PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934

0x06d898dd11c4c1ffca1f91c2c47f6e379b4c9446

Realised P&L
$205.69
Volume
$39.99
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar514.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.8031.000$1.3k+$265.21
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.3410.465$771.90+$205.21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7831.000$590.00+$128.08
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.5100.310$514.60−$331.55
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0450.247$410.85+$336.13
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.7491.000$405.00+$101.50
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3200.815$199.68+$121.24
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026? · Yes0.0721.000$165.00+$153.15
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June? · Yes0.0281.000$140.00+$136.08
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.4710.635$104.86+$27.08
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0210.681$102.22+$99.09
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0120.058$96.25+$76.58
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2990.535$85.60+$37.70
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · Yes0.1361.000$85.00+$73.45
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June? · Yes0.0591.000$75.00+$70.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 10:44Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.116$0.58
04-20 11:26Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?BUY0.8$4.00
04-20 11:26Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?BUY0.998$4.99