PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

qqqppp-l1

0x229c0a7d92977a9934e5ac2348d507988996b966

Realised P&L
$10.4k
Volume
$5.64M
Markets traded
45,510
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded45,510
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? · No0.0170.993$173.69+$170.69
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.0370.587$125.43+$117.43
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.0840.755$62.94+$55.94
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? · Yes0.0100.525$52.50+$51.50
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on November 2? · No0.0300.455$52.24+$48.76
Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.0730.910$49.70+$45.70
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0100.494$49.40+$48.40
Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250? · Yes0.0100.484$48.45+$47.45
Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? · No0.0440.414$47.86+$42.75
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? · No0.0780.860$40.75+$37.04
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? · No0.0440.270$38.83+$32.54
Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0760.950$37.18+$34.18
Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.0290.177$36.22+$30.22
Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm? · No0.0450.162$35.63+$25.63
Linera listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0300.135$31.65+$24.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 13:50Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?SELL0.99$6.15
10-28 00:01Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 23°C on October 28?SELL0.999$6.11
10-27 08:56Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?SELL0.99$6.50
10-27 05:04Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on October 27?SELL0.999$7.47
10-26 22:12Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 26?SELL0.999$7.55
10-26 08:23Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 26?SELL0.999$6.65
10-26 08:23Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 26?SELL0.999$7.13
10-26 08:23Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 26?SELL0.999$7.68
10-26 08:23Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 26?SELL0.999$6.24
10-26 07:38Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 26?SELL0.997$7.29
10-25 20:15Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 26?SELL0.996$4.98
10-25 20:15Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 26?SELL0.996$8.30
10-25 20:15Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 26?SELL0.996$6.22
10-25 20:15Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 26?SELL0.996$5.53
10-25 20:15Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 26?SELL0.996$7.09