Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-29

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.028. up 0.021 over the period, from 0.007. Range 0.001 to 0.132. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.033	60	60
0.034	18	78
0.035	104	181
0.037	50	231
0.049	25	256
0.050	533	789
0.051	20	809
0.058	20	830
0.060	500	1,330
0.063	50	1,380
0.076	100	1,480
0.088	45	1,525

Spread0.011Mid0.028

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.022	112	112
0.021	571	683
0.020	2,007	2,690
0.006	475	3,165
0.005	375	3,540
0.004	469	4,008
0.003	688	4,696
0.002	1,832	6,528
0.001	2,725	9,253

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.978	112	112
0.979	571	683
0.980	2,007	2,690
0.994	475	3,165
0.995	375	3,540
0.996	469	4,008
0.997	688	4,696
0.998	1,832	6,528
0.999	2,725	9,253

Spread0.011Mid0.972

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.967	60	60
0.966	18	78
0.965	104	181
0.963	50	231
0.951	25	256
0.950	533	789
0.949	20	809
0.942	20	830
0.940	500	1,330
0.937	50	1,380
0.924	100	1,480
0.912	45	1,525

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x76cB9E809Fd1F9eEA8D14bdA815782223e417B47-1769670726555	Yes	1,174.73
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	1,090.19
liq2	Yes	541.2
e46m3	Yes	427.86
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724	Yes	408.01
smallreceipt	Yes	393.84
godblessme2026	Yes	284.69
graynotebook19	Yes	282.88
balthazar	Yes	258.24
mustbethewater	Yes	255.21
hdjdjdjhshh	Yes	195
LornaPredicts	Yes	138.58
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658	Yes	110
thecaricature	Yes	100
0x9687…1b7c	Yes	55
.Menthe	Yes	50
planktonXD	Yes	45.01
donthackme	Yes	27
AJSV	Yes	25.57
JordanMooney	Yes	24.6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:34:16	BUY	No	0.978	5	$4.89
02:32:18	BUY	No	0.978	5	$4.89
02:30:16	BUY	No	0.978	5	$4.89
02:24:18	BUY	No	0.978999999	5	$4.90
02:23:48	BUY	No	0.979	40	$39.16
02:23:12	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
02:23:09	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.90
02:22:36	BUY	Yes	0.0183064218	200	$3.67
23:47:52	BUY	No	0.998	11	$11.10
20:14:19	BUY	No	0.9969999995	2	$2.20
18:55:37	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
18:55:37	BUY	No	0.997	13	$12.76
18:53:25	BUY	No	0.9915272464	138	$136.83
18:53:25	BUY	No	0.9937467778	90	$89.44
18:53:25	BUY	No	0.9882757813	13	$12.65
18:53:25	BUY	No	0.994	5	$4.97
18:53:25	BUY	No	0.994	15	$14.91
18:53:25	BUY	No	0.993	52	$51.72
09:13:21	SELL	Yes	0.02	50	$1.00
09:07:01	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
08:15:19	BUY	Yes	0.0233148381	159	$3.71
08:13:37	BUY	Yes	0.0197978619	437	$8.65
03:02:01	BUY	No	0.999	0	$0.23
01:10:55	BUY	No	0.999	10	$9.99
01:10:55	BUY	No	0.999	13	$12.79