PolyBot

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Traders

0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724

0xf03d13c94373e052a177601419291ce2fafe21fb

Realised P&L
$-594.57
Volume
$442.5k
Markets traded
4,683
Open portfolio
$424.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,683
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election? · Yes0.0010.166$66.20+$65.81
Will there be no next Grok model (4.7+) release by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0020.171$13.20+$13.05
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.028$11.22+$10.81
Will Gleisi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · Yes0.0010.082$6.34+$6.26
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0010.102$4.22+$4.18
Will Rome Odunze have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8300.835$4.17+$0.03
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0010.146$4.17+$4.14
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.8300.805$4.03$0.13
Will Mike Evans have 424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7600.800$4.00+$0.20
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0010.005$3.89+$3.11
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in August? · Yes0.0010.050$3.58+$3.51
Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.0010.043$3.38+$3.31
Will Lumir Abdixhiku be the next President of Kosovo? · Yes0.0010.045$3.33+$3.26
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? · No0.0010.013$3.33+$3.08
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.0030.095$3.30+$3.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 18:01Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.011$0.05
09-18 17:20Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.006$0.05
09-18 16:59Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 35% or more?SELL0.008$0.04
09-18 14:48Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.042$0.43
09-18 12:54Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $245B by September 30?SELL0.007$0.04
09-18 12:46Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?SELL0.006$0.03
09-17 20:49Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.006$0.12
09-16 06:13Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?SELL0.037$0.64
09-16 06:09Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?SELL0.025$1.81
09-16 06:08Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?SELL0.005$0.06
09-15 22:13Will Xiaomi be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.002$0.03
09-15 22:10Will MiniMax have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.003$0.03
09-15 22:09Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?SELL0.004$0.11
09-15 22:02Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?SELL0.002$0.01
09-15 22:01Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.002$0.11