PolyBot

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Traders

JordanMooney

0x5136541bced26e7c2bc20550cc26345f7d4a0e4f

Realised P&L
$20.0k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
6,961
Open portfolio
$20.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,961
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$8.7k+$211.94
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$8.3k$211.94
Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.9520.980$117.19+$3.33
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9400.950$83.04+$0.87
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9470.930$81.26$1.41
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8700.905$79.05+$3.06
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5700.525$78.75$6.75
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.6770.690$77.28+$1.46
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.4200.475$71.25+$8.25
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7820.765$66.79$1.53
Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9830.978$63.88$0.33
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0480.390$42.70+$37.50
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.4770.470$41.07$0.65
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0130.029$40.64+$23.31
Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.9990.999$27.78$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:35No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.2599999972$15.05
09-17 01:50Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?BUY0.6349999949$16.31
09-17 01:50Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?BUY0.5319999998$10.65
09-17 01:50Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?BUY0.5319999953$12.24
09-17 01:50Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?BUY0.6349999898$12.78
09-16 19:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.47$8.93
09-16 19:00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.9909999982$396.44
09-16 19:00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$398.84
09-16 19:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$397.24
09-16 19:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.439999999$184.40
09-16 18:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.3699999984$69.63
09-16 18:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$183.89
09-16 18:34Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.989$183.15
09-16 16:57Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7759999976$23.73
09-16 16:57Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.94$28.23