JordanMooney
0x5136541bced26e7c2bc20550cc26345f7d4a0e4f
- Realised P&L
- $20.0k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 6,961
- Open portfolio
- $20.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,961
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.017Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.7kat 0.028Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$1.1kat 0.017Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.017Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.017Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:35 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2599999972 | $15.05 |
| 09-17 01:50 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.6349999949 | $16.31 |
| 09-17 01:50 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.5319999998 | $10.65 |
| 09-17 01:50 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.5319999953 | $12.24 |
| 09-17 01:50 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.6349999898 | $12.78 |
| 09-16 19:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $8.93 |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9909999982 | $396.44 |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $398.84 |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $397.24 |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.439999999 | $184.40 |
| 09-16 18:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999984 | $69.63 |
| 09-16 18:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $183.89 |
| 09-16 18:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.989 | $183.15 |
| 09-16 16:57 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7759999976 | $23.73 |
| 09-16 16:57 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.23 |