PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

smallreceipt

0x942e79166821f3f4e67872e44f1672fcccd2be27

Realised P&L
$123.8k
Volume
$3.83M
Markets traded
37,159
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded37,159
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.0910.482$38.60+$31.33
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.0910.480$38.44+$31.17
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.1670.348$34.80+$18.13
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.0910.425$34.00+$26.73
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.0910.396$31.64+$24.37
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 30% or more? · Yes0.0910.363$29.08+$21.81
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 30% or more? · Yes0.0910.313$25.00+$17.73
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.0910.300$24.04+$16.77
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.0910.286$22.88+$15.61
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.0910.276$22.08+$14.81
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election? · Yes0.0910.267$21.36+$14.09
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0910.264$21.08+$13.81
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0910.257$20.56+$13.29
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0910.254$20.28+$13.01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 18? · Yes0.0910.095$17.86+$0.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18?BUY0.99$9.90
09-17 05:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18?BUY0.99$18.81
09-17 05:09Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.89$8.90
09-17 05:00Will the Titans win the season series against the Jaguars during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.93$9.30
09-17 05:00Will the Titans win the season series against the Jaguars during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.93$9.30
09-17 04:48Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.986$39.44
09-17 04:44Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.999$39.96
09-17 04:40Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.999$39.96
09-17 04:33Will Communists of Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.998$9.98
09-17 04:33Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?BUY0.978$39.12
09-17 04:27Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 30% or more?BUY0.98$6.86
09-17 04:25Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?BUY0.55125$22.05
09-17 04:25Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.98$9.80
09-17 04:14Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.999$9.99
09-17 04:07Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.54$5.40