smallreceipt
0x942e79166821f3f4e67872e44f1672fcccd2be27
- Realised P&L
- $123.8k
- Volume
- $3.83M
- Markets traded
- 37,159
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded37,159
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.252Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.7kat 0.110Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$4.1kat 0.251Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$3.4kat 0.094Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.8kat 0.006Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-17 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $18.81 |
| 09-17 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-17 05:00 | Will the Titans win the season series against the Jaguars during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-17 05:00 | Will the Titans win the season series against the Jaguars during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-17 04:48 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $39.44 |
| 09-17 04:44 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-17 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-17 04:33 | Will Communists of Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-17 04:33 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1? | BUY | 0.978 | $39.12 |
| 09-17 04:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.86 |
| 09-17 04:25 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.55125 | $22.05 |
| 09-17 04:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-17 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |