smallreceipt
0x942e79166821f3f4e67872e44f1672fcccd2be27
- Realised P&L
- $66.6k
- Volume
- $4.61M
- Markets traded
- 49,039
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded49,039
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.9kat 0.011Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$6.7kat 0.988Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$5.0kat 0.283Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$5.0kat 0.252Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.6kat 0.110Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:18 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $25.80 |
| 11-01 23:18 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $23.27 |
| 11-01 23:16 | Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $24.30 |
| 11-01 23:16 | Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $16.20 |
| 11-01 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.979 | $29.37 |
| 11-01 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.9797826667 | $44.09 |
| 11-01 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.9724533333 | $29.17 |
| 11-01 23:12 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.11 |
| 11-01 23:11 | Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 90m? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? | BUY | 0.97 | $8.55 |
| 11-01 22:52 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $7.08 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 11-01 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.6306666667 | $47.30 |
| 11-01 22:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 11-01 22:09 | Will Nebraska be the closest Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.05 |