PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x96877397287129f61dc3362087f89be819091b7c

Realised P&L
$651.97
Volume
$97.1k
Markets traded
2,334
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,334
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · Yes0.6050.962$507.67+$188.27
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8030.985$206.85+$38.10
Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? · Yes0.3360.475$152.00+$44.35
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4480.515$124.11+$16.10
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3000.998$119.70+$83.65
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4840.470$115.15$3.54
Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? · Yes0.2400.237$76.00$0.90
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30? · Yes0.2380.480$52.80+$26.65
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? · Yes0.2690.450$49.50+$19.95
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.2430.705$49.35+$32.35
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1560.855$47.00+$38.40
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8520.963$43.34+$4.99
Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala? · Yes0.0950.124$39.84+$9.57
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.7170.710$31.95$0.33
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6420.715$23.55+$2.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?BUY0.16$0.80
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?BUY0.14$0.70
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?BUY0.54$2.70
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?BUY0.007$0.04
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?BUY0.008$0.04
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be 70k or more?BUY0.06$0.30
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?BUY0.16$0.80
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?BUY0.006$0.03
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?BUY0.59$2.95
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?BUY0.008$0.04
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be 70k or more?BUY0.04225$0.21
08-15 03:35Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?BUY0.14$0.70
08-15 03:20Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?BUY0.001$0.01
08-15 03:20Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?BUY0.8$4.00
08-15 03:20Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?BUY0.001$0.01