0x76cB9E809Fd1F9eEA8D14bdA815782223e417B47-1769670726555
0x76cb9e809fd1f9eea8d14bda815782223e417b47
- Realised P&L
- $-515.86
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $54.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.025 | $29.37 | −$3.98 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.047 | $24.63 | −$23.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.033Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$864.47at 0.009No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$-5.10at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$-105.00at 0.210Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
- +$-323.56at 0.102Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 02:22 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0183064218 | $3.67 |
| 09-18 08:15 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0233148381 | $3.71 |
| 09-18 08:13 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0197978619 | $8.65 |
| 09-12 08:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999994 | $4.81 |
| 09-12 08:50 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0915549472 | $47.99 |
| 09-12 08:48 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0505196783 | $14.20 |
| 08-09 07:53 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009063058 | $7.91 |
| 08-09 07:50 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0053199221 | $5.44 |
| 07-22 00:16 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.97 |
| 07-13 05:25 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0771022232 | $40.71 |
| 07-13 05:22 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0585104 | $2.93 |
| 05-03 09:05 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting? | BUY | 0.072 | $2.16 |
| 05-03 09:04 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting? | BUY | 0.0604079152 | $1.94 |
| 05-01 09:21 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting? | BUY | 0.054 | $22.84 |
| 05-01 09:16 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting? | BUY | 0.0454610819 | $36.38 |