PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

.Menthe

0x9a94e5b4f0d6c646ed49e832cf8142c45474d5f9

Realised P&L
$681.30
Volume
$4.49M
Markets traded
92,592
Open portfolio
$500.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded92,592
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.0010.604$27.94+$27.90
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on September 17? · Yes0.0010.495$24.75+$24.70
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes0.0010.393$19.65+$19.60
Will the Chicago Cubs hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0010.387$19.32+$19.27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 17? · No0.0010.246$12.32+$12.28
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.0010.407$8.14+$8.12
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.0010.448$6.28+$6.26
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? · Yes0.0010.114$5.67+$5.63
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? · No0.0010.436$5.67+$5.66
Will Lennar say "Affordability" 5+ times during earnings call? · No0.0010.100$4.97+$4.92
Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · Yes0.0010.180$4.46+$4.44
Will Dalton Kincaid have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.0010.231$4.39+$4.37
Will Rashee Rice be the highest-scoring WR of the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.0010.316$4.35+$4.33
Will NTE: Neverness to Everness win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0010.092$4.16+$4.12
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0010.080$4.00+$3.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 05:41Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?SELL0.9912$49.56
08-30 22:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.89$10.85
08-30 22:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.4099999836$5.00
08-24 19:28LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.4185797828$400.00
08-24 19:21LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonSELL0.5$403.85
08-24 18:58LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.2599999993$210.00
08-23 21:02LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.1999986753$135.88
08-23 14:53LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.15$97.42
08-22 22:17LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.08$16.00
08-22 21:30LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.01$0.10
08-22 20:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.059999989$5.00
08-21 12:32LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.33$99.00
08-21 12:26LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.09$45.00
08-17 16:03LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2099999968$50.00
08-16 18:29LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.08$20.00
Trader .Menthe · PolyBot Pro