PolyBot

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Traders

graynotebook19

0xcfff4295288ee29f75a38a7028611b7c1e93673d

Realised P&L
$101.1k
Volume
$4.94M
Markets traded
48,961
Open portfolio
$959.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded48,961
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.0910.482$38.60+$31.33
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.0910.480$38.44+$31.17
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.0910.425$34.00+$26.73
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 30% or more? · Yes0.0910.313$25.00+$17.73
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0910.257$20.56+$13.29
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.0910.256$20.44+$13.17
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0910.254$20.28+$13.01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.0910.421$16.86+$13.22
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.0910.396$15.82+$12.18
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0910.383$15.30+$11.66
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.0830.373$14.94+$11.61
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.0830.371$14.86+$11.53
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0830.371$14.84+$11.51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.0830.370$14.82+$11.49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0910.363$14.54+$10.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.99$18.81
09-17 05:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.99$9.90
09-17 05:09Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on September 18?BUY0.993$9.93
09-17 04:54Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 39.5 and 40.0 million views on day 5?BUY0.989352$9.89
09-17 04:48Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.26$10.40
09-17 04:45Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.998$29.94
09-17 04:45Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.998$9.98
09-17 04:44Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.27$10.80
09-17 04:40Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 17?BUY0.88$35.20
09-17 04:36Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?SELL0.001$0.00
09-17 04:33Will A Just Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.999$9.99
09-17 04:33Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?BUY0.41$16.40
09-17 04:27Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election?BUY0.973$6.81
09-17 04:25Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?BUY0.9772525$39.09
09-17 04:25Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.5334$5.33