PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658

0x005ed998fcb786679eb8bfd0d20c15c0903d6d8e

Realised P&L
$-88.7k
Volume
$2.45M
Markets traded
40,967
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded40,967
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.755$186.46+$178.74
Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? · No0.7430.765$131.52+$3.74
Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? · No0.2430.235$53.86$1.85
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.5270.445$44.95$8.32
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No0.7250.770$36.76+$2.14
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0420.190$34.20+$26.70
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes0.0250.420$25.20+$23.70
Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.5930.550$23.74$1.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2200.065$22.79$54.48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? · Yes0.9810.999$19.96+$0.35
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? · Yes0.1430.455$16.84+$11.55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 18? · No0.9750.975$16.48$0.00
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No0.2660.235$15.76$2.10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7650.769$15.19+$0.10
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · No0.1500.165$14.62+$1.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?BUY0.98$41.16
09-17 22:55Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.84$4.24
09-17 22:54Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?BUY0.62$3.10
09-17 22:54Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18?BUY0.67$3.46
09-17 22:52Will CDU win at least 14% of all valid second votes?BUY0.999$5.09
09-17 22:51Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 17?BUY0.9712295082$5.92
09-17 22:49Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 17?BUY0.99$5.03
09-17 22:48Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.9201816397$18.74
09-17 22:48Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 17?BUY0.99$12.95
09-17 22:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.03$0.15
09-17 22:39Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.998$4.99
09-17 22:39Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.998$2.45
09-17 22:39Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?BUY0.999$1.60
09-17 22:36Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 19?BUY0.999$3.71
09-17 22:32Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.938$4.86