0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658
0x005ed998fcb786679eb8bfd0d20c15c0903d6d8e
- Realised P&L
- $-88.7k
- Volume
- $2.45M
- Markets traded
- 40,967
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded40,967
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.9kat 0.061Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.4kat 0.941Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.7kat 0.118Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$5.7kat 0.277Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
- +$5.5kat 0.023No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $41.16 |
| 09-17 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.24 |
| 09-17 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 09-17 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.46 |
| 09-17 22:52 | Will CDU win at least 14% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 09-17 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9712295082 | $5.92 |
| 09-17 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.03 |
| 09-17 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9201816397 | $18.74 |
| 09-17 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.95 |
| 09-17 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 09-17 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-17 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.45 |
| 09-17 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.71 |
| 09-17 22:32 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.938 | $4.86 |