PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658

0x005ed998fcb786679eb8bfd0d20c15c0903d6d8e

Realised P&L
$28.1k
Volume
$3.37M
Markets traded
57,206
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded57,206
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9670.985$868.71+$16.06
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? · No0.9540.988$300.64+$10.34
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat? · No0.8700.890$230.72+$5.19
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No0.8580.860$109.17+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1? · No0.9670.996$94.48+$2.71
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · No0.2690.262$45.60−$1.33
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? · No0.4700.455$40.69−$1.39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 2? · No0.9970.994$25.74−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 2? · No0.9980.992$25.68−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 2? · No0.8930.895$23.19+$0.06
Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election? · No0.6840.704$21.71+$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2? · No0.9890.985$16.33−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 1? · No0.9950.997$14.68+$0.03
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat? · No0.0820.061$12.47−$4.12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 2? · No0.3980.395$12.23−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2?BUY0.96$4.86
11-02 00:44Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on November 2?BUY0.003$0.02
11-02 00:44Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 2?BUY0.009$0.08
11-02 00:44Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?SELL0.999$2.00
11-02 00:44Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1?SELL0.999$8.36
11-02 00:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.5202152642$2.66
11-02 00:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2?BUY0.94$7.61
11-02 00:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2?BUY0.974$4.87
11-02 00:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.62$5.07
11-02 00:38Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 2?BUY0.997$5.00
11-02 00:36Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.005$0.03
11-02 00:34Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1?BUY0.994$45.38
11-02 00:30Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 2?BUY0.998$1.38
11-02 00:28Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 2?BUY0.77$1.22
11-02 00:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 3?BUY0.997$5.02