Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.511. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.499. Range 0.499 to 0.520. 70 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.512	5,048	5,048
0.513	201	5,249
0.516	400	5,649
0.518	904	6,553
0.519	6,694	13,247
0.520	200	13,447
0.521	8,312	21,759
0.522	352	22,111
0.523	3,420	25,531
0.524	44,431	69,962
0.525	56,536	126,498
0.526	24,151	150,649

Spread0.002Mid0.511

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.510	1,038	1,038
0.509	1,898	2,936
0.508	14,376	17,312
0.507	7,923	25,235
0.506	38,200	63,435
0.505	28,845	92,280
0.501	11,288	103,568
0.500	14,147	117,715
0.499	10,639	128,354
0.498	8,079	136,433
0.497	4,000	140,433
0.496	20,284	160,717

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.490	1,038	1,038
0.491	1,898	2,936
0.492	14,376	17,312
0.493	7,923	25,235
0.494	38,200	63,435
0.495	28,845	92,280
0.499	11,288	103,568
0.500	14,147	117,715
0.501	10,639	128,354
0.502	8,079	136,433
0.503	4,000	140,433
0.504	20,284	160,717

Spread0.002Mid0.489

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.488	5,048	5,048
0.487	201	5,249
0.484	400	5,649
0.482	904	6,553
0.481	6,694	13,247
0.480	200	13,447
0.479	8,312	21,759
0.478	352	22,111
0.477	3,420	25,531
0.476	44,431	69,962
0.475	56,536	126,498
0.474	24,151	150,649

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
MisTKy	Yes	4,413.52
Lolakis	Yes	2,700.99
lissartter	Yes	2,428
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	2,039.55
Tenebrus7	Yes	1,299.99
Antony82	Yes	501.16
0xa426…3dda	Yes	279.77
cigarettes	Yes	229.83
0xa169…1b73	Yes	200
JackMoneyEth	Yes	161.25
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	103
pokettt	Yes	50
labronzee	Yes	26.99
AJSV	Yes	21.11
Milin-dc	Yes	10
juan-de-costa-rica	Yes	9.65
dragonai26novabot	Yes	5
0xa0c7cA3805C	Yes	5
DFF561	Yes	5
neodata938mal	Yes	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:10:20	SELL	Yes	0.51	192	$98.02
15:06:55	SELL	Yes	0.51	192	$98.02
14:32:20	SELL	Yes	0.511	200	$102.20
14:31:25	SELL	Yes	0.512	8	$3.99
14:31:17	SELL	Yes	0.511	200	$102.19
14:31:16	SELL	Yes	0.5100555429	3,601	$1836.71
14:31:16	SELL	Yes	0.511	200	$102.20
14:31:14	SELL	Yes	0.5156862329	5,016	$2586.57
14:31:14	BUY	No	0.4869999994	208	$101.20
14:31:14	BUY	No	0.48708405	200	$97.42
14:31:14	BUY	No	0.4860430622	209	$101.58
11:02:34	BUY	Yes	0.519	20	$10.29
11:01:54	SELL	No	0.481	35	$16.84
10:58:03	BUY	Yes	0.519	200	$103.80
10:45:52	BUY	Yes	0.519	10	$5.19
06:51:14	SELL	Yes	0.517	9	$4.50
05:39:53	BUY	Yes	0.519	9	$4.52
05:28:11	SELL	Yes	0.514	9	$4.83
04:46:08	BUY	No	0.486	5	$2.43
04:41:58	BUY	Yes	0.518999939	4	$2.00
04:40:55	BUY	Yes	0.519	9	$4.88
04:15:19	BUY	Yes	0.519	5	$2.60
03:59:49	BUY	No	0.4859998782	4	$1.90
03:55:56	BUY	Yes	0.519	5	$2.60
03:49:53	BUY	No	0.4859998782	4	$1.90