Tenebrus7
0xa8c63f775ddbbe66b56614191747def3021444e8
- Realised P&L
- $158.9k
- Volume
- $78.42M
- Markets traded
- 4,670
- Open portfolio
- $298.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,670
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.9kat 0.005US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$47.3kat 0.036Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
- +$25.1kat 0.090Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$19.8kat 0.031Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$19.8kat 0.040Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:52 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $792.92 |
| 09-16 19:36 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 09-16 08:11 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-16 08:09 | Will Trump say "Russia" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6120127517 | $91.19 |
| 09-15 22:31 | Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $193.60 |
| 09-15 22:31 | Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 9? | BUY | 0.94 | $310.20 |
| 09-15 22:30 | Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by September 25? | BUY | 0.9597142789 | $403.07 |
| 09-15 22:19 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.047 | $152.80 |
| 09-15 22:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $11.06 |
| 09-15 22:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $830.00 |
| 09-15 22:04 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.047 | $167.18 |
| 09-15 21:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.047 | $62.87 |
| 09-15 21:31 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.9 | $386.10 |
| 09-15 21:29 | What will be the next Fed rate change? | SELL | 0.0427679362 | $1.93 |