PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Milin-dc

0x2762873b815644d5b13790aeed3fcaed7d222cf6

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$324.4k
Markets traded
1,440
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,440
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8150.825$1.0k+$12.61
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9240.935$561.00+$6.75
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9240.945$472.51+$10.56
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9140.945$425.24+$14.01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6290.846$338.41+$86.64
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? · No0.8610.956$334.60+$33.17
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.7380.805$322.00+$26.84
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.7530.840$294.01+$30.34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.8890.997$199.40+$21.50
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · No0.9240.970$193.91+$9.04
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9070.945$188.99+$7.50
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.4910.450$180.00−$16.56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7480.715$178.75−$8.29
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7610.695$173.75−$16.48
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? · No0.7650.971$169.03+$35.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:30Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$47.00
11-01 21:25Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.052$0.52
11-01 21:25Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0501748$2.51
10-31 13:06Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?SELL0.93$46.50
10-31 10:35Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.9$18.00
10-31 10:14José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?SELL0.968$48.40
10-31 10:13Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?SELL0.976$6.10
10-30 22:45Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the February meeting?BUY0.23$2.90
10-30 22:31Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on November 6, 2026?BUY0.76$7.61
10-30 22:28Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on November 6, 2026?BUY0.18$7.20
10-30 22:28Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on November 6, 2026?BUY0.68$33.99
10-30 22:24Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.52$20.80
10-30 22:17Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on November 6, 2026?BUY0.18$1.80
10-30 21:48Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.8797488152$25.99
10-30 21:07Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?BUY0.12$1.20