PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Milin-dc

0x2762873b815644d5b13790aeed3fcaed7d222cf6

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$263.3k
Markets traded
1,188
Open portfolio
$7.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,188
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9320.980$783.60+$37.54
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · No0.8820.900$585.00+$11.41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7790.795$516.75+$10.19
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? · No0.8410.840$294.00$0.41
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · No0.8560.865$259.51+$2.61
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.7450.820$248.33+$22.71
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9550.956$191.20+$0.15
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.9140.955$191.01+$8.08
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9210.951$190.20+$6.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8710.945$189.00+$14.77
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? · No0.5310.670$174.21+$36.02
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · No0.8980.890$172.07$1.61
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · No0.9300.933$153.94+$0.46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9520.960$143.93+$1.15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8460.890$142.39+$7.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.88$17.60
08-02 23:55Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?BUY0.5$5.00
08-02 23:55Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?BUY0.71$7.10
08-02 23:55Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?BUY0.86$4.30
08-02 23:54Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?BUY0.86$8.60
08-02 20:52Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?SELL0.88$4.40
08-02 15:41Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?SELL0.85$8.50
08-02 15:25Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?SELL0.82$8.19
08-02 15:18Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?BUY0.68$3.40
08-02 15:18Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?BUY0.6775$13.55
08-02 10:54Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.4$8.00
08-02 10:49Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.81$40.50
08-02 02:40Will anyone say "Grace" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?BUY0.93$4.65
08-02 02:40Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?BUY0.91$9.10
08-02 02:07Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?BUY0.9$4.52