neodata938mal
0xbf926ab870dffc9e06a614db5f4903dab6a899f3
- Realised P&L
- $-0.53
- Volume
- $94.32
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $2.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.519 | 0.511 | $2.56 | −$0.04 |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.35 |
| Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.84at 0.510Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
- +$2.95at 0.410Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$2.49at 0.502Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$1.96at 0.607Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.62at 0.592Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:55 | Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.519 | $2.60 |
| 10-14 02:58 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.375 | $1.88 |
| 09-26 13:16 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-23 05:59 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-22 09:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 09-22 09:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.389 | $1.57 |
| 08-24 07:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 08-19 07:13 | Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.419999923 | $1.20 |
| 08-10 07:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-06 05:13 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999294 | $2.30 |
| 07-27 05:09 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-14 02:01 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | BUY | 0.529 | $1.50 |
| 07-09 08:01 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 06-23 05:02 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 06-05 05:34 | Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | BUY | 0.5663750463 | $1.50 |