candice000
0xc975d7bcf7363c8ca1046753c49a5bf95a531983
- Realised P&L
- $-178.81
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $97.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.765 | $38.25 | −$1.25 |
| Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.725 | $14.50 | +$0.10 |
| Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.470 | $14.10 | +$0.60 |
| Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · No | 0.506 | 0.517 | $10.11 | +$0.22 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes | 0.502 | 0.484 | $7.70 | −$0.29 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? · No | 0.330 | 0.215 | $6.45 | −$3.45 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.320 | $2.98 | −$0.14 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.560 | 0.545 | $2.73 | −$0.07 |
| Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.491 | 0.513 | $1.03 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.60at 0.690Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.420Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
- +$0.20at 0.520Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
- +$0.20at 0.090Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?
- +$0.10at 0.470No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:13 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 21:57 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.752 | $12.99 |
| 08-02 17:06 | Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.56 |
| 08-02 13:21 | Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.882 | $1.47 |
| 08-02 12:51 | No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.43 | $13.42 |
| 08-02 12:51 | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? | SELL | 0.33 | $8.25 |
| 08-02 12:51 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Will T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026? | SELL | 0.579 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.12 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | SELL | 0.262 | $0.08 |
| 08-01 19:34 | Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.304 | $5.47 |
| 08-01 19:34 | Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | SELL | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-01 17:59 | Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.0533333333 | $1.60 |
| 08-01 16:03 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.43919 | $21.96 |
| 07-31 22:32 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.5395 | $53.95 |