0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73
- Realised P&L
- $-62.23
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$0.34at 0.780Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?
- +$0.23at 0.955Will FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
- +$0.10at 0.275Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 21:36 | Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.86 |
| 10-11 21:36 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.769999991 | $15.45 |
| 10-11 21:36 | Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.7799999831 | $15.65 |
| 10-11 21:36 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.789999995 | $15.85 |
| 10-11 21:20 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0913586946 | $1.02 |
| 10-11 21:20 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0769999956 | $1.02 |
| 10-11 21:20 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0659999977 | $1.02 |
| 10-11 21:20 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.091999996 | $1.02 |
| 10-11 21:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 10-11 21:08 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.2699999956 | $13.55 |
| 10-11 21:08 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.779999998 | $39.12 |
| 10-11 21:08 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 6% or more? | BUY | 0.983 | $19.72 |
| 10-11 21:08 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 6% or more? | BUY | 0.9836697819 | $29.58 |
| 10-11 18:50 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $19.94 |
| 10-11 18:50 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.129999994 | $2.61 |