PolyBot

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Traders

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

Realised P&L
$-62.23
Volume
$8.1k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine? · No0.9680.794$102.03−$22.34
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%? · No0.9810.972$97.07−$0.90
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more? · No0.9880.954$95.66−$3.38
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%? · No0.9670.927$93.01−$3.93
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%? · No0.9320.893$89.57−$3.91
Will Democrats win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Iowa? · No0.7700.730$73.00−$4.00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.9450.989$62.97+$2.76
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.9970.999$62.75+$0.09
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.9991.000$62.68+$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.9850.995$62.50+$0.60
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.9400.955$60.53+$0.95
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%? · No0.7020.620$57.92−$7.67
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.7600.875$55.59+$7.31
Will Republicans win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine? · No0.9600.945$49.67−$0.79
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 6% or more? · No0.9830.966$48.40−$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 21:36Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.84$16.86
10-11 21:36Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.769999991$15.45
10-11 21:36Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.7799999831$15.65
10-11 21:36Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?BUY0.789999995$15.85
10-11 21:20Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 17, 2026?BUY0.0913586946$1.02
10-11 21:20Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?BUY0.0769999956$1.02
10-11 21:20Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 16, 2026?BUY0.0659999977$1.02
10-11 21:20Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 17, 2026?BUY0.091999996$1.02
10-11 21:20Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.17$1.02
10-11 21:08Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?BUY0.2699999956$13.55
10-11 21:08Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.779999998$39.12
10-11 21:08Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 6% or more?BUY0.983$19.72
10-11 21:08Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 6% or more?BUY0.9836697819$29.58
10-11 18:50Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 3%-6%?BUY0.9939999999$19.94
10-11 18:50Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?BUY0.129999994$2.61