PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DFF561

0x94010687a3a46d680df655102374b0264ab04937

Realised P&L
$-0.84
Volume
$68.08
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$2.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.5190.511$2.56−$0.04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.3200.000$0.00−$1.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.40
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$2.40
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$3.10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$2.40
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$3.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:46Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.519$2.60
09-21 07:06Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September?BUY0.48$2.40
09-17 09:20Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?BUY0.48$2.40
08-15 16:19Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?BUY0.45$1.80
08-12 04:04Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?BUY0.4$2.00
08-03 04:54US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.61$3.05
07-30 06:16Trump out as President before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-23 02:24Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.57$2.85
07-02 04:19Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?BUY0.55$2.75
06-17 06:58Starmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999856$1.50
06-03 02:44Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?BUY0.62$3.10
05-27 03:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?BUY0.3599999177$1.40
05-19 03:21Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.4939999314$1.70
05-12 02:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.6599999848$2.60
04-20 07:16Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?BUY0.32$1.60