DFF561
0x94010687a3a46d680df655102374b0264ab04937
- Realised P&L
- $-0.84
- Volume
- $68.08
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $2.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.519 | 0.511 | $2.56 | −$0.04 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.92at 0.417Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
- +$2.60at 0.480US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$2.16at 0.567Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
- +$2.15at 0.570Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
- +$2.13at 0.467Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:46 | Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.519 | $2.60 |
| 09-21 07:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-17 09:20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-15 16:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.80 |
| 08-12 04:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 04:54 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 07-30 06:16 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 02:24 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 07-02 04:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 06-17 06:58 | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999856 | $1.50 |
| 06-03 02:44 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 05-27 03:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? | BUY | 0.3599999177 | $1.40 |
| 05-19 03:21 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.4939999314 | $1.70 |
| 05-12 02:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.6599999848 | $2.60 |
| 04-20 07:16 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |