PolyBot

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Traders

Antony82

0xfd39c48d1e5e6214c4a16d2d7f950f4a355b9ec8

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$120.9k
Markets traded
761
Open portfolio
$26.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded761
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.0M and 7.1M in September? · No0.7500.890$445.00+$70.00
Will Republicans win white voters in the Texas Senate election? · Yes0.7940.885$443.81+$45.64
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election? · No0.8360.989$431.06+$66.71
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9? · No0.5730.975$414.01+$170.74
Will PAIS win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? · No0.8060.805$403.35−$0.78
Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms? · Yes0.8010.790$395.27−$5.68
Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa? · No0.7960.785$393.09−$5.71
Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September? · No0.8220.953$372.51+$51.19
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September? · No0.6290.695$347.92+$33.01
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election? · No0.7590.967$342.55+$73.50
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? · Yes0.7560.874$331.27+$44.59
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election? · No0.8130.870$330.60+$21.80
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election? · Yes0.6610.675$325.34+$6.46
South Dakota passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? · Yes0.8400.939$322.41+$33.84
Will Solidary Force (FS) win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? · No0.8500.979$318.76+$42.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 18:43Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.65$12.29
10-10 18:41Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?BUY0.84$84.00
10-10 18:30Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?BUY0.34$30.01
10-10 18:30Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?BUY0.5230769231$34.00
10-10 18:20Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?BUY0.841$168.20
10-10 18:14Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?BUY0.72$28.80
10-10 17:54Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.82$41.00
10-10 17:20Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?BUY0.8$238.40
10-10 16:53Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná?SELL0.964$400.46
10-10 16:18Will Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.54$10.85
10-10 16:14Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election?BUY0.68$3.40
10-10 16:14Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election?BUY0.83$24.90
10-10 16:10Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?BUY0.85$44.20
10-10 16:10Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?BUY0.31$3.72
10-10 16:09Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election?BUY0.49$9.85