Antony82
0xfd39c48d1e5e6214c4a16d2d7f950f4a355b9ec8
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $120.9k
- Markets traded
- 761
- Open portfolio
- $26.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded761
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.32at 0.658Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$176.01at 0.611Will UPB hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election?
- +$161.79at 0.293Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?
- +$150.42at 0.666Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná?
- +$149.12at 0.255Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 18:43 | Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.65 | $12.29 |
| 10-10 18:41 | Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 10-10 18:30 | Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi? | BUY | 0.34 | $30.01 |
| 10-10 18:30 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election? | BUY | 0.5230769231 | $34.00 |
| 10-10 18:20 | Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election? | BUY | 0.841 | $168.20 |
| 10-10 18:14 | Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election? | BUY | 0.72 | $28.80 |
| 10-10 17:54 | Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 10-10 17:20 | Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa? | BUY | 0.8 | $238.40 |
| 10-10 16:53 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná? | SELL | 0.964 | $400.46 |
| 10-10 16:18 | Will Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.85 |
| 10-10 16:14 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 10-10 16:14 | Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 10-10 16:10 | Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election? | BUY | 0.85 | $44.20 |
| 10-10 16:10 | Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.72 |
| 10-10 16:09 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.85 |