PolyBot

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Traders

0xa426732ab66d593401b1f46461896eb465c03dda

0xa426732ab66d593401b1f46461896eb465c03dda

Realised P&L
$17.43
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$540.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.7030.690$245.45−$4.55
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes0.7130.715$195.57+$0.57
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · Yes0.6700.665$99.25−$0.75
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.0250.000$0.00−$2.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · No0.0240.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 14:45Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.7129107419$195.00
10-10 06:07Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
10-09 20:04Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.6799999978$150.00
10-08 02:49Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7399999953$100.00
03-01 00:37Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.025$2.00
03-01 00:37Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.0240000001$2.00
01-25 00:55Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.7$50.00