0xa426732ab66d593401b1f46461896eb465c03dda
0xa426732ab66d593401b1f46461896eb465c03dda
- Realised P&L
- $17.43
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $540.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.703 | 0.690 | $245.45 | −$4.55 |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes | 0.713 | 0.715 | $195.57 | +$0.57 |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.665 | $99.25 | −$0.75 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · No | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.43at 0.700Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:45 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7129107419 | $195.00 |
| 10-10 06:07 | Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-09 20:04 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $150.00 |
| 10-08 02:49 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 00:37 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |
| 03-01 00:37 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.0240000001 | $2.00 |
| 01-25 00:55 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |