PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

juan-de-costa-rica

0xfe64c1cf97e2d7a439e0d9c634bc330aa035c314

Realised P&L
$1.76
Volume
$189.51
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$115.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 12:162026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.629999995$5.00
10-14 01:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8699999147$5.00
10-13 15:49Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8799998733$5.00
10-13 15:17Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8299999153$5.00
10-13 13:33Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
10-13 07:43Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.5179999814$5.00
10-13 00:42US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
10-12 20:03US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
10-06 15:16Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
10-06 01:17Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.86$5.00
09-29 19:13Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
09-29 14:31Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4249999958$5.00
09-29 06:09Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
09-28 14:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6489999365$5.00
09-28 13:34Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5789999721$5.00