MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b
- Realised P&L
- $342.2k
- Volume
- $69.79M
- Markets traded
- 838
- Open portfolio
- $184.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded838
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.9kat 0.166Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$26.1kat 0.830Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$25.2kat 0.873Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$20.0kat 0.162Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$15.6kat 0.989US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-16 21:51 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.6 | $951.01 |
| 09-16 19:59 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.6500043906 | $384.91 |
| 09-16 19:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $974.76 |
| 09-16 19:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $947.07 |
| 09-16 19:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 17:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.991 | $59.5k |
| 09-16 16:12 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.93 | $35.07 |
| 09-16 16:09 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $218.51 |
| 09-16 15:48 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5888169599 | $601.04 |
| 09-16 15:47 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $493.02 |
| 09-16 15:01 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.9189729012 | $6.1k |
| 09-16 14:22 | Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2334650009 | $25.41 |
| 09-15 18:59 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $2.7k |
| 09-15 18:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.993 | $159.87 |