ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418
- Realised P&L
- $542.1k
- Volume
- $519.67M
- Markets traded
- 49,011
- Open portfolio
- $566.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded49,011
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$747.3kat 0.436Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$482.7kat 0.378Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$349.7kat 0.352Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$309.8kat 0.641No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
- +$291.3kat 0.967No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.56736695 | $1.1k |
| 09-16 18:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 17:03 | Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? | BUY | 0.1950259067 | $75.28 |
| 09-16 15:19 | Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.33 |
| 09-16 15:16 | Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.49 |
| 09-16 15:08 | Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.62 | $8.17 |
| 09-16 13:02 | Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-16 13:02 | Will Christopher Haworth advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.94 | $37.60 |
| 09-16 12:54 | Will Rafa Hewett / Clayton Powell advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 09-16 12:51 | Will Brooke Buckner / Kaitlyn Christian advance to the Semifinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.88 | $70.40 |
| 09-16 12:50 | Will Anouar Braham / Alex Walker advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.86 | $94.60 |
| 09-16 12:49 | Will Jade Kawamoto qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-16 12:48 | Will CJ Klinger reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | SELL | 0.75 | $14.25 |
| 09-16 12:48 | Will Andrei Daescu reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | SELL | 0.626202 | $31.31 |
| 09-16 12:25 | Will Drew Campbell come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.0627379452 | $4.88 |