ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418
- Realised P&L
- $322.5k
- Volume
- $524.98M
- Markets traded
- 50,707
- Open portfolio
- $722.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded50,707
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$719.3kat 0.435Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$232.0kat 0.406Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$82.7kat 0.969US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$79.6kat 0.993No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$64.5kat 0.966Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:31 | Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:31 | Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:31 | Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:29 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:29 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:29 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:29 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:29 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:29 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |