Lolakis
0x401ee31e9ebf9ab9f6315cd95faca5f950436fc9
- Realised P&L
- $79.8k
- Volume
- $16.99M
- Markets traded
- 1,719
- Open portfolio
- $32.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,719
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.160Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$7.7kat 0.084Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
- +$5.6kat 0.963US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$4.4kat 0.130US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.260US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 01:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $64.80 |
| 09-26 00:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $680.63 |
| 09-26 00:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.8k |
| 09-26 00:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $71.77 |
| 09-26 00:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $221.62 |
| 09-26 00:29 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $480.72 |
| 09-26 00:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.3k |
| 09-26 00:01 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 23:57 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $15.00 |
| 09-25 23:22 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $79.03 |
| 09-25 21:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $594.21 |
| 09-25 21:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $42.83 |
| 09-25 21:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 09-25 21:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $129.09 |
| 09-25 20:33 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.02 |