PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dragonai26novabot

0x1dbec9e993727e5cadbd9ac890ee0ef5bdb6cb59

Realised P&L
$0.59
Volume
$103.97
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$2.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.5190.511$2.56−$0.04
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$1.70
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$2.20
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$1.30
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$2.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:05Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.519$2.60
10-14 07:11Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.477$2.38
09-30 02:29Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.466$2.33
09-29 05:03Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.042$0.21
09-29 05:03Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.5$2.08
09-29 05:02Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?SELL0.58$2.90
09-29 05:02Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.9$3.45
09-18 01:20Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5029999154$2.10
08-16 14:01Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?BUY0.54$2.70
08-12 10:59Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.5999999478$2.30
08-04 02:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?BUY0.59$2.95
07-31 06:16Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-23 03:49Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.4199998616$1.70
07-10 08:17Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.55$2.75
06-22 08:07Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?BUY0.7299999735$2.20