Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.006 to 0.026. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.023	5	5
0.028	40	45
0.029	82	127
0.032	20	147
0.035	40	187
0.036	1,620	1,807
0.037	1,000	2,807
0.038	200	3,007
0.074	205	3,212
0.085	56	3,268
0.086	724	3,992
0.088	335	4,327

Spread0.017Mid0.014

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.006	412	412
0.005	141	553
0.004	235	788
0.003	590	1,378
0.002	333	1,711
0.001	776	2,487

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.994	412	412
0.995	141	553
0.996	235	788
0.997	590	1,378
0.998	333	1,711
0.999	776	2,487

Spread0.017Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.977	5	5
0.972	40	45
0.971	82	127
0.968	20	147
0.965	40	187
0.964	1,620	1,807
0.963	1,000	2,807
0.962	200	3,007
0.926	205	3,212
0.915	56	3,268
0.914	724	3,992
0.912	335	4,327

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	1,773.25
balthazar	Yes	1,623.9
thecaricature	Yes	1,381.51
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	724.96
ScottyNooo	Yes	400
1BTCis1BTC	Yes	200.28
123987456	Yes	200
PaddyAlpha	Yes	200
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	195.35
tradetosurvive1	Yes	175
liq2	Yes	165.63
navber	Yes	120
donthackme	Yes	119.99
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	117.76
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.	Yes	82.11
tytytytyeyertye	Yes	37.89
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	35.72
jughrwggughgw987464	Yes	35.53
Car	Yes	35
0x35249282AC891e05E554469e6d45f3b77cf4a0b5-1769865435194	Yes	34.74

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:24:21	BUY	No	0.993	19	$19.17
11:56:12	BUY	No	0.9929999996	11	$11.00
11:12:40	BUY	No	0.992	20	$19.84
00:22:21	SELL	Yes	0.007	111	$0.78
08:25:58	BUY	Yes	0.0169906341	1,337	$22.71
08:02:49	BUY	Yes	0.009	300	$2.70
01:52:33	BUY	Yes	0.0089999999	111	$1.00
01:52:30	BUY	Yes	0.009	35	$0.32
01:52:30	SELL	Yes	0.005	35	$0.18
23:59:31	BUY	Yes	0.009	20	$0.18
16:35:45	BUY	Yes	0.009	380	$3.42
16:32:49	BUY	Yes	0.009	171	$1.54
16:32:42	BUY	Yes	0.009	7	$0.06
16:32:31	BUY	Yes	0.009	50	$0.45
16:32:30	BUY	Yes	0.0086797196	66	$0.57
16:32:30	BUY	Yes	0.008	10	$0.08
16:32:30	BUY	Yes	0.008	220	$1.76
16:32:30	BUY	Yes	0.008	100	$0.80
15:24:39	BUY	Yes	0.008	20	$0.16
15:23:39	BUY	Yes	0.008	8	$0.06
14:10:24	BUY	Yes	0.008	20	$0.16
14:09:09	BUY	Yes	0.008	20	$0.16
13:23:34	BUY	Yes	0.008	20	$0.16
12:26:18	BUY	Yes	0.008	16	$0.13
03:01:58	BUY	Yes	0.009976	20	$0.20