jughrwggughgw987464
0x37010a101397c85960ef07f729668612f3ae4a76
- Realised P&L
- $-25.58
- Volume
- $188.96
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $0.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.015 | $0.52 | −$0.83 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.48 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.77 |
| LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs · Solary | 0.477 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.39 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.37 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.26at 0.422Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch
- +$1.17at 0.890Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$0.56at 0.930Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
- +$0.44at 0.961Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
- +$0.30at 0.900US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 22:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.39 |
| 10-16 20:27 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0379999998 | $1.35 |
| 09-28 02:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5799999814 | $4.37 |
| 09-19 13:42 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.9269999519 | $7.35 |
| 08-28 20:16 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.8699999174 | $7.06 |
| 08-16 16:15 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.8999997363 | $2.73 |
| 07-25 12:27 | Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch | BUY | 0.4099999566 | $3.02 |
| 07-12 11:04 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9729999737 | $3.29 |
| 06-27 10:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9609999336 | $10.75 |
| 06-19 12:30 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.957999991 | $1.71 |
| 06-12 19:59 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999955 | $11.77 |
| 06-05 15:11 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999319 | $1.48 |
| 05-30 17:28 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.8899999991 | $9.46 |
| 05-25 16:14 | UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5 | $4.74 |
| 03-31 11:42 | LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | BUY | 0.4699999906 | $7.26 |