1BTCis1BTC
0xc759c3b061fe7bd5cccf8891f5dbe2f8b604b965
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $2.65M
- Markets traded
- 578
- Open portfolio
- $666.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded578
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.23at 0.001Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$50.55at 0.001Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$49.98at 0.001Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$48.78at 0.001Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$44.95at 0.001Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:04 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 07:04 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 07:04 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.54 |
| 09-18 07:03 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 07:02 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.0695192614 | $4.37 |
| 09-18 07:01 | Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.99 |
| 09-18 07:00 | Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.40 |
| 09-18 06:56 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 06:56 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.25 |
| 09-18 06:55 | Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 06:54 | Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 06:53 | Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $11.76 |
| 09-17 07:31 | Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 07:30 | Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 07:28 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |