PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tytytytyeyertye

0xf03dda90bcfe0f3c94f2ec02ad989f7e49c99224

Realised P&L
$4.23
Volume
$137.78
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$7.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7100.715$3.94+$0.03
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8000.984$2.83+$0.53
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.0380.015$0.55−$0.89
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$1.79
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6410.000$0.00−$6.01
Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks · Washington Mystics0.6600.000$0.00−$3.54
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 08:26Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7099999038$3.91
10-16 14:12Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.0379999998$1.44
09-28 01:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.8399999405$1.13
09-19 10:11Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6409999644$6.01
08-28 17:45Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles SparksBUY0.6599999814$3.54
08-16 17:17Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.1$1.48
07-25 11:00Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.9639999963$5.19
07-12 14:25Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.829999974$3.19
06-27 12:00Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9609998554$2.04
06-19 10:22Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.84$7.51
06-12 22:13Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5899999242$1.79
05-29 15:00Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.4299999709$5.62
05-25 00:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.9679999963$4.15
05-10 09:33Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?BUY0.8$5.59
04-23 21:18Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?BUY0.9369995774$2.04